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Journal of Clinical Oncology, Vol 17, Issue 7 (July), 1999: 2086
© 1999 American Society for Clinical Oncology

Smoking Before Surgery Predicts Poor Long-Term Survival in Patients With Stage I Non–Small-Cell Lung Carcinomas

Takehiko Fujisawa, Toshihiko Iizasa, Yukio Saitoh, Yasuo Sekine, Shin-ichiro Motohashi, Tomohisa Yasukawa, Kiyoshi Shibuya, Kenzo Hiroshima, Hidemi Ohwada

From the Departments of Surgery and Pathology, Institute of Pulmonary Cancer Research, Chiba University School of Medicine, Chiba, Japan.

Address reprint requests to Takehiko Fujisawa, MD, Department of Surgery, Institute of Pulmonary Cancer Research, Chiba University School of Medicine, 1-8-1 Inohana, Chuo-ku, Chiba 260-8670, Japan


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
PURPOSE: The majority of lung carcinoma patients requiring resection have smoking habits prior to surgical treatment, and the correlation of smoking with postoperative complications is well known. However, few studies have investigated the correlation between long-term survival and cigarette smoking in patients with primary, resected lung carcinoma. We analyzed the relationship between clinical factors, including cigarette smoking before surgery, and 10-year survival in stage I non–small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS: Cigarette smoking habit and other factors influencing either the overall survival or the disease-specific survival rates of patients with stage I primary, resected NSCLC were evaluated according to the Cox proportional hazards model using a total of 369 patients with stage I–NSCLC.

RESULTS: Comparison of the cause of death in patients with 30 or more pack-years and patients with less than 30 pack-years showed significant differences in the prevalence of recurrent disease and onset of nonmalignant disease. Multivariate analysis demonstrated significant correlations between overall survival and age and pack-years. Disease-specific survival showed significant correlations with age, tumor classification, and visceral pleural invasion.

CONCLUSION: Smoking pack-years is an important clinical prognostic factor in evaluating overall long-term survival in patients with stage I primary, resected NSCLC.


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
RESECTION IS ACCEPTED to be the definitive therapy for primary lung carcinomas. Five-year survival rates are closely correlated with disease stage, so that for stage I patients with complete resection, the 5-year survival rate is 60% to 70%, which is generally recognized as an acceptable result.1-10 However, the cause of death among patients with stage I lung carcinoma included not only disease recurrence but also nonrecurrent disease. Analyses of death by nonrecurrent diseases are important to further improve the long-term survival in patients with stage I lung carcinomas.

Direct and indirect tobacco smoking are a leading cause of lung carcinoma. The majority of lung carcinoma patients undergoing resection have smoking habits before surgical treatment, and the correlation of smoking with postoperative complications has been reported.11 However, few studies have been reported on the correlation between long-term survival and cigarette smoking in patients with primary, resected lung carcinoma.12-14

In this article, we analyze the relationship between clinical factors, including cigarette smoking before surgery, and 10-year survival in stage I non–small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) with complete resection.


    PATIENTS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Patients
The study group comprised 375 patients who underwent complete resection during the period from 1981 to 1993 at our institution and were confirmed as having stage I NSCLC by pathologic examination of the resected materials. Six patients (five with squamous cell carcinomas and one with adenocarcinoma, all men) who died within 1 month after surgery were excluded from survival analyses. The cancer histologic types included 147 squamous cell carcinomas, 216 adenocarcinomas, and 12 large-cell carcinomas. The patient group consisted of 124 women and 251 men who ranged in age from 34 to 87 years (mean age, 62.2 years). Pathologic tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification showed that there were 210 T1N0 and 163 T2N0 tumors. Histologic type, differentiation, TNM classification, and resectability were classified according to the criteria of the American Joint Committee on Cancer15 and the general rules for clinical and pathologic recording of lung cancer described by the Japan Lung Cancer Society.16 Cellular differentiation was graded as well, moderate, or poor for those patients with non–large-cell histology. Large-cell carcinoma was classified as undifferentiated.17

History of cigarette smoking was evaluated according to the description given in the patient's chart. When distant or local disease recurrence developed, any treatment was permitted. For the first year after surgery, patients were followed up every month, then every 3 months from 2 to 5 years after surgery and every 6 months thereafter. Additional follow-up was conducted (and survival was determined) by telephone or postcard contact with the patient. Postoperative smoking status was evaluated by telephone contact with the patient or family members. Cause of death was confirmed by telephone contact with the doctor who followed the patient. At the last follow-up, for overall survival curves, an observation was censored if the patient was alive; for disease-specific curves, data were censored if the patient was alive or had died from a cause other than NSCLC. All but two patients were followed up at the end of 1995. These two patients showed no clinical signs of recurrence until postoperative days 785 and 1053, and are noted as censored observations in the current study.

Survival Rate and Statistical Analysis
Actuarial overall survival and disease-specific survival were calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method,18 and the difference between survival curves was analyzed with the log-rank test. Clinical prognostic factors in this study included age, sex, histologic type, differentiation, tumor classification, visceral pleural invasion, and cigarette smoking before surgery (pack-years, number of packs per day, and years of smoking). Multivariate analysis was performed according to the Cox proportional hazards model,19 using the SPSS statistical software program package (SPSS version 6.0 for Windows; SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL). Statistical analysis was considered to be significant when a P value was .05 or less.


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Cause of Death and Type of Recurrence
Six patients died within 1 month after surgery (1.6% of 375 patients) because of pneumonias (two patients), bronchial fistulas (two patients), and heart infarction (two patients). All were male and ranged in age from 48 years to 80 years (mean age, 66.5 years). Cigarette smoking ranged from 22.5 to 90 pack-years (mean, 58.25 pack-years), and histologic types were all squamous cell carcinomas, except for one adenocarcinoma. Of 369 patients used for survival analysis, 68 patients died from recurrent disease and 37 patients died from nonrecurrent diseases. The type of disease recurrence included local recurrence in four patients, distant metastases in 60 patients, and both in five patients. Nonrecurrent causes consisted of 13 second primary malignancies, including one lung, two stomach, and two kidney carcinomas. Respiratory insufficiencies caused by infection or emphysema accounted for 24 deaths. A comparison of cause of death between patients with 30 or more pack-years and patients with less than 30 pack-years showed a significant difference in the number of recurrent and nonmalignant diseases (Table 1).


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Table 1. Cause of Death and Type of Recurrence, According to Smoking Pack–Years
 

Overall Survival
Overall 5- and 10-year survival rates among all stage I NSCLC patients were 70.4% and 56.7%, respectively (Fig 1). Figure 2 demonstrates overall survival curves according to cigarette smoking, and 10-year survival rates generally decreased in correlation with the increase of pack-years. Table 2 shows overall 5- and 10-year survival rates according to clinical prognostic factors. Significant differences were demonstrated in age, sex, histologic type, differentiation, and tumor classification, but there was no significant difference in visceral pleural invasion. In regard to cigarette smoking, overall 5- and 10-year survival rates in patients with 30 or more pack-years were 58.4% and 36.7%, respectively, and in those with less than 30 pack-years, the rates were 86.6% and 83%, respectively. The difference between these groups was statistically significant. There were also significant differences in number of packs per day and years of smoking.



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Fig 1. Overall and disease-specific survival curves in patients with primary, resected stage I NSCLC.

 


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Fig 2. Overall survival curves in patients with primary, resected stage I NSCLC, evaluated by pack-years.

 

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Table 2. Overall Survival, According to Clinical Prognostic Factors
 

Disease-Specific Survival
Disease-specific survival rates among all patients with stage I NSCLC were 77.6% and 73.9% at postoperative years 5 and 10, respectively (Fig 1). Figure 3 demonstrates disease-specific survival curves according to cigarette smoking. Ten-year survival rates in pack-year 0, pack-years 1 through 29, and pack-years 30 or more were 88.2%, 77.3%, and 64.7%, respectively. Table 3 shows disease-specific 5- and 10-year survival rates according to clinical prognostic factors. Significant differences were demonstrated in age, sex, tumor classification, and visceral pleural invasion, but no significant differences were found in histologic type and differentiation. In regard to cigarette smoking, disease-specific 5- and 10-year survival rates in patients with 30 or more pack-years were 70.3% and 64.7%, respectively, and in patients with less than 30 pack-years, 87% and 85.4%, respectively. This difference was statistically significant, as were the differences in survival rates with regard to number of packs per day and years of smoking.



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Fig 3. Disease-specific survival curves in patients with primary, resected stage I NSCLC, evaluated by pack-years.

 

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Table 3. Disease-Specific Survival, According to Clinical Prognostic Factors
 

Multivariate Analysis
Multivariate analysis of overall survival was evaluated according to the Cox proportional hazards model by using the six clinical prognostic factors with significant differences in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis demonstrated a significant correlation of overall survival with age (P = .0094 and P = .0002) and cigarette smoking (P = .0096), but no significant correlations were observed with sex, tumor classification, differentiation, and histologic type (Table 4). When number of packs per day and years of smoking were included instead of pack-years, years of smoking demonstrated significant correlation with overall survival.


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Table 4. Cox Proportional Hazards Model Analyses of Various Factors Affecting Overall Survival in Primary, Resected Stage I NSCLC
 

Next, multivariate analysis of disease-specific survival was performed using the five clinical prognostic factors with significant differences in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis demonstrated a significant correlation of disease-specific survival with age (P = .0296 and P = .0062), tumor classification (P = .0328), and visceral pleural invasion (P = .0078) and no significant correlation with sex and cigarette smoking (Table 5).


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Table 5. Cox Proportional Hazards Model Analyses of Various Factors Affecting Disease-Specific Survival in Primary, Resected Stage I NSCLC
 

Relationship Between Postoperative Smoking Status and Outcome
Among 251 smokers, 35 patients (14%) restarted smoking after surgery. However, no significant difference in the population of patients who restarted smoking after surgery was demonstrated among patients alive or dead due to recurrent disease, second malignancy, or nonmalignant disease.

Correlation Between Clinical Features and Smoking Pack-Years
Clinical features, including age, sex, tumor classification, and histology, were evaluated according to smoking pack-years (Table 6). Heavy smokers, with 30 or more pack-years, were significantly older than smokers with less than 29 pack-years and nonsmokers. The heavy-smokers group also had significantly higher rates of male patients and T2 and squamous cell carcinomas than smokers with less than 29 pack-years or nonsmokers.


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Table 6. Distribution of Clinical Features, According to Smoking Pack–Years
 


    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Extensive studies have been carried out on survival rates in stage I NSCLC. Histologic type, tumor status, visceral pleural, and satellite lesions have been shown to be important prognostic factors.1-10 Furthermore, molecular and biologic markers, including tumor-associated antigens, aberrant gene expression, and enzyme, hormone and other biologic parameters, were also considered to be potential predictors of survival.20,21 However, cigarette smoking, one of the most important clinical factors in the occurrence of lung carcinoma, has not been included in the analysis on the duration of survival in patients with stage I NSCLC.

Surgical treatment is the only curative modality for patients with NSCLC. However, the long-term survival rate in patients with stage I NSCLC is not completely satisfactory for two reasons: recurrent disease and nonrecurrent causes of death. Few studies have defined how cigarette smoking before surgical treatment relates to recurrent or nonrecurrent causes of postoperative death in stage I NSCLC.

In this study, cigarette smoking pack-years was shown to be an independent prognostic factor for evaluating overall survival in patients with stage I NSCLC, in addition to age. However, in analyses of disease-specific survival of stage I NSCLC patients, tumor classification and visceral pleural invasion were independent prognostic factors but pack-years were not. We also found that the cause of death was not related to cigarette smoking restarted after surgery. These results suggest that cigarette smoking before surgery greatly influenced overall survival. This is the first study to demonstrate the significant correlation between cigarette smoking and long-term survival in stage I NSCLC patients.

Dresler et al22 reported an excellent rate of smoking cessation both before surgery and long-term and higher recurrence rates in patients with the shorter smoking cessation period. However, their study did not obtain data on pathologic stage, and survival rates were not examined. Harpole et al14 reported a prognostic model of disease recurrence and death in stage I NSCLC using presentation, histopathology, oncoprotein expression, and smoking history, but they demonstrated no significant impact on cancer-specific survival.

Cigarette smoking causes not only lung carcinoma but lung damage as well; therefore, the frequency of postoperative complications in respiratory organs is greater in patients with primary resected lung carcinoma who smoke heavily before surgery than in those who do not smoke heavily.11 In this study, we found that the number of nonmalignant and malignant causes of death were significantly greater in patients with primary resected stage I NSCLC with 30 or more pack-years of cigarette smoking compared with those with less than 30 pack-years of cigarette smoking. Cigarette smoking before surgery strongly influences both short-term survival and long-term survival and is an independent prognostic factor in stage I NSCLC.

The mechanisms of how smoking habits influence prognosis are still unclear, but it is reported that smoking causes the decrease of systemic and local immunity in the airway.23-25 It is possible that the biologic nature of lung carcinomas in patients with 30 or more smoking pack-years is more malignant than that in patients with less than 30 smoking pack-years, and may be related to gene mutation caused by cigarette smoke. Thus, the biologic malignancy of the primary lesion and a decreased immune status of the airways could explain the higher disease recurrence and poorer prognosis in patients who are heavy smokers.

Most lung cancers are also associated with multiple genetic alterations and the presence of preneoplastic bronchial lesions. Wistuba et al26 reported that genetic changes similar to those found in lung cancers could be detected in the nonmalignant bronchial epithelium of current and former smokers and might persist for many years after smoking cessation. Mao et al27 reported clonal genetic alterations in the respiratory epithelium of current and former smokers. These reports support our data showing a trend of the higher occurrence rate of second malignancies in heavy smokers.

The survival rates of T1N0 and T2N0 carcinomas are quite different; therefore, it is questionable whether T1N0 and T2N0 carcinomas should be included in the same stage. The TNM classification system, decided by the International Union Against Cancer in 1996, included T1N0 in stage IA and T2N0 in stage IB. In this study, we observed that the tumor classification in overall survival was not an independent prognostic factor in stage I NSCLC by multivariate analysis, which indicates that the T1N0 and T2N0 classifications are homogeneous. However, in disease-specific survival, tumor classification is an independent prognostic factor by multivariate analysis, which supports the new TNM classification in stage I lung carcinoma proposed by the International Union Against Cancer.

In conclusion, smoking pack-years is considered to be an important clinical prognostic factor in evaluating overall long-term survival.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
Supported in part by Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research no. 05453481 and 11357012 from the Ministry of Education, Science, Sports, and Culture of Japan


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
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1. Thomas PA, Rubinstein L, the Lung Cancer Study Group: Cancer recurrence after resection: T1N0 non-small cell lung cancer. Ann Thorac Surg 49:242-247, 1990[Abstract]

2. Gail MH, Eagan RT, Feld R, et al: Prognostic factors in patients with resected stage I non-small cell lung cancer: A report from the Lung Cancer Study Group. Cancer 54:1802-1813, 1984[Medline]

3. Read RC, Schaefer R, North N, et al: Diameter, cell type, and survival in stage I primary non-small cell lung cancer. Arch Surg 123:446-449, 1988[Abstract/Free Full Text]

4. Feld R, Rubinstein L, Weisenburger T, et al: Site of recurrence in resected stage I non-small cell lung cancer: A guide for future studies. J Clin Oncol 2:1352-1357, 1984[Abstract]

5. Kadri MA, Dussek JE: Survival and prognosis following resection of primary nonsmall cell bronchogenic carcinoma. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 5:132-136, 1991[Abstract]

6. Read RC, Yoder G, Schaefer RC: Survival after conservative resection for T1N0M0 non-small cell lung cancer. Ann Thorac Surg 49:391-398, 1990[Abstract]

7. Williams DE, Pairolero PC, Danis CS, et al: Survival of patients surgically treated for stage I lung cancer. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 82:70-76, 1981[Abstract]

8. Shimizu J, Watanabe Y, Oda M, et al: Results of surgical treatment of stage I lung cancer. J Jpn Surg Soc (Nippon Geka Gakkai Zasshi) 94:505-510, 1993

9. Ichinose Y, Hara N, Ohta M, et al: Is T factor of the TNM staging system a predominant prognostic factor in pathologic stage I non-small cell lung cancer? A multivariate prognostic factor analysis of 151 patients. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 106:90-94, 1993[Abstract]

10. Watanabe Y, Shimizu J, Oda M, et al: Proposals regarding some deficiencies in the new international staging system for non-small cell lung cancer. Jpn J Clin Oncol 21:160-168, 1991[Abstract/Free Full Text]

11. Kearney DJ, Lee TH, Reilly JJ, et al: Assessment of operative risk in patients undergoing lung resection: Importance of predicted pulmonary function. Chest 105:753-759, 1994[Abstract/Free Full Text]

12. Richardson GE, Tucker MA, Venzon DJ, et al: Smoking cessation after successful treatment of small-cell lung cancer is associated with fewer smoking-related second primary cancers. Ann Intern Med 119:383-390, 1993[Abstract/Free Full Text]

13. Davidson G, Duffy M: Smoking habits of long-term survivors of surgery for lung cancer. Thorax 37:331-333, 1982[Abstract/Free Full Text]

14. Harpole DH, Herndon JE, Wolfe WG, et al: A prognostic model of recurrence and death in stage I non-small cell lung cancer utilizing presentation, histopathology, and oncoprotein expression. Cancer Res 55:51-56, 1995[Abstract/Free Full Text]

15. American Joint Committee on Cancer: Manual for Staging of Cancer (ed 4). Philadelphia, PA, Lippincott, 1992, pp 115-122

16. The Japan Lung Cancer Society: The General Rule for Clinical and Pathological Record of Lung Cancer. Tokyo, Japan, Kanehara, 1995, pp 89-121

17. Robbins SL, Cotran RS: Differentiation and anaplasia, in Robbins SL, Cotran RS (eds): Pathologic Basis of Disease (ed 2). Philadelphia, PA, WB Saunders, 1979, pp 146-150

18. Kaplan EL, Meier P: Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observation. J Am Stat Assoc 53:457-481, 1958

19. Cox DR: Regression models and life tables. J R Stat Soc B 34:187-200, 1972

20. Nesbit JC, Putnam JB, Walsh GL, Roth JA, Mountain CF: Survival in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer. Ann Thorac Surg 60:466-472, 1995[Abstract/Free Full Text]

21. Mountain FC: New prognostic factors, in Motta G (ed): Lung Cancer Frontiers in Science and Treatment. Genoa, Italy, Grafica, 1994, pp 1-24

22. Dresler CM, Bailey M, Roper CR, et al: Smoking cessation and lung cancer resection. Chest 110:1199-1202, 1996[Abstract/Free Full Text]

23. Thomas RW, Holt RG, Keast D: Development of alterations in the primary immune response of mice by exposure to fresh cigarette smoke. Int Arch Allergy 46:481-486, 1974

24. Daniele RP, Dauber JH, Altose MD, et al: Lymphocytes studies in asymptomatic cigarette smokers. Am Rev Respir Dis 116:997-1005, 1977[Medline]

25. Chalmer J, Holt PG, Keast D: Cell-mediated immune responses to transplanted tumors in mice chronically exposed to cigarette smoke. J Natl Cancer Inst 55:1129-1134, 1975

26. Wistuba II, Lam S, Behrens C, et al: Molecular damage in the bronchial epithelium of current and former smokers. J Natl Cancer Inst 89:1366-1373, 1997[Abstract/Free Full Text]

27. Mao L, Lee JS, Kurie JM, et al: Clonal genetic alterations in the lung of current and former smokers. J Natl Cancer Inst 89:857-862, 1997[Abstract/Free Full Text]

Submitted July 7, 1998; accepted March 2, 1999.


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Copyright © 1999 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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