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© 2001 American Society for Clinical Oncology Thymidine Kinase as a Proliferative Marker: Clinical Relevance in 1,692 Primary Breast Cancer PatientsFrom the Institut Curie, Paris; Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Centre Hospitalier Univensitaire-Nord, Marseille; Centre P Papin, Angers; Centre R Gauducheau, St Herblain; Centre E Marquis, Rennes; Centre J Godinot, Reims; and Centre René Huguenin, St Cloud, France. Address reprint requests to Frédérique Spyratos DrSc, Laboratoire dOncobiologie, Centre René Huguenin, 35 Rue Dailly, 92210 St Cloud, France; email: f.spyratos{at}stcloud-huguenin.org
PURPOSE: To assess the prognostic value of thymidine kinase (TK), an enzyme involved in the DNA synthesis salvage pathway, relative to other prognostic factors in primary breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective study involved 1,692 patients with operable breast cancer treated in six institutions (median follow-up, 82 months). Among the 857 node-negative patients, 135 received adjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide [FAC] or fluorouracil, etoposide, and cisplatin [FEC]). TK was assayed in cytosol with a quantitative radioenzymatic technique. Disease-specific survival (DSS), local recurrence-free interval (LRI), and distant-relapse-free interval (DRI) were investigated. RESULTS: High TK levels were associated with large tumor size, high histologic grade, and steroid hormone receptor negativity. Univariate analysis of the entire data set showed that high TK levels were related to shorter DSS (P < 10-5), LRI (P < 10-3), and DRI (P < 10-5). In time-dependent Cox models, high TK levels remained an independent predictor of the three outcomes, both in the overall population and in node-negative patients, although its prognostic value decreased over time. In node-negative patients, the introduction of an interaction term in multivariate analysis suggested that chemotherapy was more efficacious for patients who had tumors with high TK contents. In node-positive patients, high TK levels were related only to an increased risk of LRI. CONCLUSION: High TK values are an important risk factor in node-negative patients and seem to be associated with a beneficial effect of adjuvant FAC or FEC in patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. The rationale of chemotherapy for patients with slowly proliferating tumors has to be discussed from a risk-benefit point of view.
CELL KINETICS, analyzed by various methods, is an important predictor of clinical outcome in surgically treated breast cancer1-5 and particularly in node-negative patients.6-12 Proliferation has also been indicated as a predictor of the response to chemotherapy, including systemic adjuvant therapy2,13 and neoadjuvant therapy,14-16 suggesting increased chemosensitivity of rapidly proliferating tumors, even though an earlier response may not necessarily be related to longer survival. DNA synthesis was initially measured in terms of tritiated thymidine incorporation.8 Cell kinetic information was subsequently obtained by static methods, such as flow cytometric DNA analysis1-3,5-7,9,10,12 and immunohistochemical indices, which identify a global growth fraction of cells in the G1, S, G2, and M phases of the cell cycle4,7,9,11 or, more recently, only in the S, G2, and M phases.12 Another approach to measuring cell proliferation is the specific assay of enzymes involved in DNA synthesis. Thymidine kinase (TK) is an enzyme involved in the one-step salvage pathway of pyrimidine synthesis, whereas the de novo pathway synthesizes nucleotide monophosphate in multiple steps.17-19 TK catalyzes ATP-dependent phosphorylation of thymidine to monophosphate, which is then incorporated into DNA. Its activity increases markedly after the G1-S transition and then declines rapidly in G2.19 Several TK isoenzymes are found in a given eukaryotic cell.17,20 We focused this study on the first isoenzyme (fetal, cytosolic, TK1), which is associated with cell division, the second (adult mitochondrial TK2) being cell cycle independent. TK is conventionally assayed in terms of its enzyme activity, using radiolabeled nucleotide substrates. In human breast cancer a 14-fold increase in TK activity was found relative to normal breast tissue,21 and several pilot studies have shown that TK is a useful prognostic indicator in breast cancer when used in conjunction with other classic factors.22-26 TK analysis might refine the individual prognosis and treatment of breast cancer patients. It might also form the basis for new therapeutic approaches using antimetabolites for DNA salvage pathway inhibition.27 To establish the prognostic value of TK in primary breast cancer, we set up a large retrospective multicenter study involving six French institutions belonging to the Groupe dOncobiologie of the Fédération Nationale des Centres de Lutte Contre le Cancer. We used a radioenzymatic assay validated in conjunction with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Receptors and Biomarkers Study Group.28
Patients The 1,692 patients were diagnosed and treated in the six participating centers between early 1980 and late 1994. The patients presented with unilateral nonmetastatic breast tumors and were initially treated with modified mastectomy or breast-conserving surgery. The patients were 24 to 95 years old at diagnosis, with a mean age of 58 years. Postmenopausal status was defined as complete arrest of periods for at least 2 years; 34% of patients were premenopausal. The mean pathologic size of the tumors was 23 mm. Ductal carcinomas were diagnosed in 1,471 patients and lobular carcinomas, in 150 patients; patients with other histologic types were analyzed together. Among the 1,509 tumors graded according to Scarff et al29 and Bloom and Richardson30 classification, 18% were grade 1, 56% were grade 2, and 26% were grade 3. A mean of 13 lymph nodes were examined. Fifty-seven percent of patients were node-negative and 26% had one to three invaded nodes. Estrogen and progesterone receptor positivity was observed in 71% and 62% patients, respectively (Table 1). The primary treatment was tumorectomy (64%) or mastectomy (36%) with axillary dissection, followed by radiotherapy in 85% of cases. Data on adjuvant treatment were available for 1,595 patients. A total of 649 patients received no adjuvant treatment, whereas 302 received chemotherapy and 411 received hormone therapy with tamoxifen (20 mg daily) for at least 2 years. Two hundred thirty-three patients received both treatments. Among node-positive patients, 602 received adjuvant treatment; chemotherapy protocols varied widely among the centers, but 70% of patients received anthracycline-containing regimens and 90% received fluorouracil.
Among the 857 node-negative patients, 524 (61%) did not receive any adjuvant treatment and 135 (16%) received adjuvant chemotherapy consisting of four or six courses of fluorouracil, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide (FAC) or fluorouracil, etoposide, and cisplatin (FEC), with the exclusion of the other protocol. These latter patients were significantly younger (50 v 57 years old), with larger pathologic tumor size (23 mm v 20 mm), negative steroid hormone receptor (estrogen receptor [ER], 46% v 31%; progesterone receptor [PgR], 53% v 41%), and higher histologic grade (Scarff, Bloom, and Richardson histologic grade 3, 57% v 15%) as compared with those patients receiving no adjuvant chemotherapy. One hundred seventy-one node-negative patients (20%) received hormone therapy and 27 (3%) received a combination of hormone therapy and chemotherapy.
Tumor Material
ER and PgR Assays
TK Assay
Statistical Methods Disease-specific survival (DSS), local-relapse-free intervals (LRIs), and distant-relapse-free intervals (DRIs) were calculated from the date of first treatment. Disease-related deaths were scored as events, and other patients were censored at the time of cancer-unrelated death or last follow-up. Local relapse was defined as a tumor arising in the treated breast or regional lymph nodes. Patients who sustained a distant relapse as the first event were still considered at risk for experiencing a local relapse. Survival curves were derived from Kaplan-Meier estimates.36 The log-rank test was used to test the equality of survival distributions.37 Survival rates and relative risks are presented with their 95% confidence intervals. For univariate analysis to examine the relationship between TK and outcome, we used three prespecified cut points in each participating center, corresponding to the 25th, 50th (or median), and 75th percentiles of the TK distribution.
For the three outcomes, the following variables were tested by multivariate analysis using a Cox proportional hazards regression model38: age at first treatment (40 or younger, 41 to 60, and older than 60 years), menopausal status (premenopausal v postmenopausal), pathologic tumor size ( Because node-negative and node-positive patients are usually investigated separately in clinical studies, and because the effect of TK could be different in these two groups, we separately analyzed the two categories. Because the clinical management of node-positive patients was quite heterogeneous, the treatment effect was only investigated in node-negative patients. To address the question of a potential interaction between TK levels and chemotherapy in the node-negative patient population (for which the chemotherapy regimen was homogeneous), we introduced and tested an interaction term in the final multivariate Cox models. The interaction variable corresponded to the product of the TK value by the treatment covariate (chemotherapy v no chemotherapy). Confounding variables with k subgroups were coded to (k-1) dummy variables (this model permits nonlog-linear relation of relative risks between two subsequent subgroups when k > 2). The prognostic role of TK was analyzed in a two-stage procedure. First, the clinical and biologic variables described above were entered in a stepwise forward procedure. Second, to test the additional prognostic information carried by TK, this marker was entered in the final model considered previously as a continuous variable (with logarithmic transformation). To address the problem of variations among centers, we stratified the multivariate analyses according to the center. For LRI, we also stratified the analyses according to the type of surgery (mastectomy v tumorectomy). Moreover, to identify a possible time-varying effect of TK, we also tested a time-dependent variable for TK. In this time-dependent Cox model, the form of dependence was
where
The median TK value in the entire population was 69 mU·mg-1 protein (range among centers, 42 to 140 mU·mg-1 protein). Significant differences in mean TK values were observed according to the center and storage conditions (Table 2). Higher TK levels were observed when cytosols were stored in liquid nitrogen (centers 2, 4, and 5) than at -80°C (P < 10-4) and when they were stored for less than 1 year (centers 1, 2, and 3) than for more than 1 year (P < 10-4). No significant difference in the variance of TK values was observed according to the center or storage conditions.
Correlation Between Classic Variables and TK Values Higher TK values were linked to larger tumor size, higher histologic grade, ductal histology, and ER and PgR negativity (Table 3). The highest TK values were observed in patients younger than 40 years, but the difference with other age groups was not significant. A multivariate regression analysis taking into account between-institution differences was consistent with these findings (results not listed).
Patient Outcome The median follow-up was 82 months (range, two to 203 months). At the cutoff date for this analysis, there had been 169 local recurrences, 387 cases of metastasis, 43 second cancers, and 374 deaths, including 352 from cancer. In the entire population, the disease-related survival rate was 85.5% (± 0.9%) at 60 months and 71.1% (± 1.6%) at 120 months. The proportions of patients free of local and distant relapse were 91.6% (± 0.7%) and 80.7% (± 1.1%), respectively, at 60 months, and 85.9% (± 1.3) and 70.2% (± 1.3%) at 120 months.
Univariate and Multivariate Analyses of the Entire Data Set
DSS, LRI, and DRI are shown in Fig 1 according to the considered percentiles. The first quartile was associated with the best prognosis, whereas the fourth quartile was associated with the worst prognosis. A linear relationship was observed from low to high TK values early during follow-up but not subsequently. In particular, DRI curves corresponding to the two intermediate quartile groups showed a long-term prognosis in these groups similar to that of patients in the fourth quartile.
The time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model was applied to the subset of 1,310 patients for whom all clinical and biologic data were available. A total of 714 patients were node-negative and 596 were node-positive. Table 5 lists the results of the final multivariate Cox model. The risk of disease-related death increased significantly, with high TK values (P = 2 x 10-3), after adjustment for age (P < 10-4), tumor size (P < 10-4), node involvement (P < 10-5), histologic grade (P = 10-2), and ER status (P < 10-4). The risk of local relapse increased with high TK values (P = 7 x 10-4) after adjustment for age (P = .02) and histologic grade (P = .01). The risk of distant relapse increased significantly with high TK values (P = 10-3) after adjustment for tumor size (P < 10-5), node involvement (P < 10-5), histologic grade (P = 10-2), and ER status (P < 10-2). The adjusted risk of death, local relapse, and distant relapse increased by 1.31, 1.46, and 1.26, respectively, when Ln(TK) increased by one unit. A significant time-varying effect of TK was shown for the three outcomes (DSS, P < 10-2; LRI, P = 3 x 10-2; DRI, P = 4 x 10-3). For these outcomes, the relative risks associated with TK values decreased over time by approximately 1% per month.
Univariate and Multivariate Analyses of Node-Negative Patients Prognostic role of TK. In univariate analysis, high TK levels were significantly linked to worse DSS (P < 10-2) and shorter LRI (P < 10-4) and DRI (P < 10-5). The distant relapse-free survival curves for patients in the different percentiles are shown in Fig 2.
As in the entire population, patients with TK values in the fourth quartile had the worst prognosis (all outcomes), whereas those with values in the first quartile had the best prognosis. For DRI, the two intermediate quartiles did not show a constant difference with the extreme quartiles over time. Later in follow-up, the prognosis of these groups was similar to that of patients in the fourth quartile. In multivariate analysis (Table 6), the risk of disease-related death increased with high TK values (P = 10-3) after adjustment for tumor size (P = 10-2) and PgR status (P = .004). The risk of local relapse increased with high TK values and age younger than 40 years. The risk of distant relapse increased with high TK values, young age, and tumor size larger than 20 mm. For the three outcomes, histologic grading was removed from the model when TK measurement was considered as a candidate prognostic factor in the stepwise analysis.
The adjusted risk of death, local relapse, and distant relapse increased by 1.69, 1.79, and 1.60, respectively, when Ln(TK) increased by one unit. A significant time-varying effect of TK was shown for the risk of death and distant relapse (DSS, P = 10-2; DRI, P < 10-2). For these two latter outcomes, the relative risks associated with TK values decreased over time by approximately 1% per month. Interaction between chemotherapy and TK on DSS and DRI. Among the 857 node-negative patients, 135 (16%) received adjuvant chemotherapy alone, 524 (61%) received neither chemotherapy nor hormone therapy, 171 (20%) received hormone therapy, and 27 (3%) received a combination of hormone therapy and chemotherapy. At the end of the study, among patients who did and did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy, there were 34 (25%) and 86 (16%) cases of metastasis, respectively, and 25 (19%) and 67 (13%) deaths, respectively. In univariate analysis, the TK level was not significantly linked to a worse DSS rate or a shorter DRI (Fig 3) among the 135 patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy relative to patients who received no adjuvant treatment. Considering the DRI, relative risk between the lowest quartile and the highest quartile was close to 1 in the treated group, whereas it was approximately 4 in the untreated group (receiving neither chemotherapy nor hormone therapy). In the treated group, 85.4% (± 7.0%) of patients with TK values below the 25th percentile were free of distant relapse at 5 years, compared with 82.3% (± 6.0%) of those with values above the 75th percentile. In the untreated group, 94.3% (± 2.0%) of patients with TK values below the 25th percentile were free of distant relapse at 5 years, compared with 72.1% (± 4.5%) of patients with values above the 75th percentile.
Addition of a first-order interaction for adjuvant chemotherapy and TK to the final multivariate Cox models (presented in the previous subsection) significantly increased the likelihood of the model. The interaction term between adjuvant chemotherapy and TK was significantly retained for DSS (P < 10-2) and DRI (P < 10-3), suggesting that chemotherapy was more effective in node-negative patients whose tumors had high TK contents. Nevertheless, such models failed to take into account all the relevant patient and tumor characteristics used to select and guide chemotherapy, as patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy had a worse DSS (P < 10-2) and a shorter DRI (P < 10-4).
Univariate and Multivariate Analyses of Node-Positive Patients
In multivariate analysis (Table 7), the TK level was only retained as an independent prognostic factor for the risk of local relapse. The prognostic value of TK for the LRI was constant over time. The risk of disease-related death increased with age older than 60 years (P = 10-3), tumor size larger than 20 mm (P < 10-3), more than three positive lymph nodes (P = 10-4), SBR histologic grade 3 (P = 10-2), and ER negativity (P = 10-4). The risk of distant relapse increased with tumor size larger than 20 mm (P = 2 x 10-3), more than three positive lymph nodes (P < 10-3), SBR histologic grade 2 to 3 (P = 10-2), and ER negativity (P = 10-3). The risk of local relapse increased significantly with high TK values (P = 10-2) and ER negativity (P = 10-3).
Ninety-one percent of node-positive patients received adjuvant treatment, but we were unable to investigate the relation between TK and chemotherapy because of the heterogeneity of the therapeutic protocols.
TK was assayed in a series of 1,692 primary breast cancer specimens to investigate its prognostic significance relative to other factors. This multicenter study (six French institutions) obviously had inherent advantages and pitfalls. Among the advantages was the large number of patients with available clinical, biologic, and histologic information. Conversely, the population was heterogeneous, with regional differences in breast cancer management. This led to cautious interpretation of potential interactions between TK levels and adjuvant chemotherapy. Significant differences in the population characteristics among the participating centers were observed. For example, two centers (centers 3 and 4) recruited only node-negative patients for this study. TK was assayed in laboratories that have used precise standardized methods and a quality control program for a number of years.28,33 The variations observed from one center to another are likely not related to differences in the way the assay was performed. Indeed, as part of the quality control process, identical specimens were assayed in several centers and the results were not significantly different from one center to another. Storage variability, a crucial factor in multicenter studies, was observed in this series. The lowest mean of TK values was obtained in center 6, which used cytosols kept for several years at -80°C, and the highest mean was obtained in center 2, which specifically prepared cytosols for this study and kept them in liquid nitrogen for less than 6 months. However, the dispersion of TK values was homogeneous among centers. To take into account dissimilarities in storage conditions and recruitment, each quartile used in univariate analysis gathered all the data from each center with respect to its own considering quartile. In multivariate analyses, adjustments for the center were made at each step of the statistical procedure. TK levels were independent of menopausal status and age but were higher in patients younger than 40 years of age, in keeping with a previous report indicating higher proliferative rates in patients younger than 40 years.40 In our series, the difference was not statistically significant, however, probably because of the small number of patients younger than 40. High TK values were linked to large pathologic tumor size, in agreement with previous studies.24,25 We also confirmed the negative correlation of TK with ER23,24 and PgR status22,24,25 and the positive correlation with histologic grade.22,24,26 In the overall population, univariate analysis showed that higher TK values were related to shorter survival (DSS, LRI, and DRI), confirming previous reports.22,24,25 In Cox multivariate analyses, TK was an independent prognostic factor for all three outcomes in the overall population and among node-negative patients, both in the overall node-negative population and in the node-negative patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (not shown). TK was only predictive of the LRI in node-positive patients. It is noteworthy that TK values and histologic grade were strongly intercorrelated and yielded common prognostic information. Histologic grade has already been found to be of prognostic importance in node-negative patients.41 In our node-negative patients, TK provided additional information beyond that given by histologic grade, whereas TK did not add further information in node-positive patients. Thus our findings confirm the potential clinical utility of proliferation parameters, as already shown using the labeling index,8 flow cytometry,5-7,9,10 immunohistochemistry,9,11,12 and TK assay.22 Compared with other methods of measuring proliferation, TK has certain advantages in that it (1) avoids the exclusion of many cases, such as S-phase fraction measurement by flow cytometry and (2) is a truly quantitative method suited to quality control programs, whereas antigen retrieval and immunostaining techniques have not yet been standardized for immunohistochemical proliferation markers. We used a time-dependent Cox model to investigate the prognostic value of TK. Cox proportional hazards regression is used in most clinical studies of prognostic factors, but few studies based on this approach have reported verification of the so-called proportional hazards assumption. A loss of prognostic significance with longer follow-up can be due to real changes in the effect of a factor as a function of time. Such time-dependent variation would violate the proportional hazards assumption inherent in Cox regression. Failure to recognize such a violation can lead to false estimates of prognostic value,42,43 a problem encountered in studies investigating other proliferation-related markers such as S phase.10,42,43 Using a time-dependent Cox model, we showed that the prognostic value of TK decreased as follow-up increased. This time-varying effect of TK could be explained by the fact that TK reflects tumor growth. Thus early relapses would be more likely to occur in patients whose tumors have higher TK values than in those with lower TK levels, and the relative risk between these two groups would vary with time. Studies based on flow cytometric DNA analysis have suggested that highly proliferative tumors have increased sensitivity to chemotherapy in neoadjuvant14-16 and adjuvant protocols,2,13 regardless of the impact on survival. We investigated the relation between TK and chemotherapy in node-negative patients who received homogeneous protocols (FAC or FEC). Chemotherapy was obviously given to high-risk patients (high SBR grade, negative hormone receptors, and so on). When confounding factors were taken into account in multivariate analyses, the introduction of an interaction term suggested that chemotherapy was more effective in node-negative patients whose tumors had high TK contents. This possibility has already been raised for the S phase; high rates of proliferation seem to predict the response to chemotherapy. As the interaction for chemotherapy and TK was not the primary focus of this study, these findings should be interpreted with care; indeed, they may be due to uncontrolled factors related to TK and chemotherapy. Conversely, the rationale of chemotherapy for patients with a good prognosis and slowly proliferating tumors, as shown by TK assay in our study or by other methods, may be also reassessed in terms of the likely risk-benefit ratio. This was already pointed out by the results of the San Antonio Specialized Program of Research Excellence breast cancer database44 and those of Bryant et al10 in patients with node-negative, ER-positive tumors. Randomized, well-controlled studies of homogeneous chemotherapy protocols are required to settle the issue. In node-positive patients, we did not investigate the interaction between TK and adjuvant chemotherapy, due to great heterogeneity in the chemotherapy protocols; however, the impact of chemotherapy could explain the lack of prognostic significance of TK in this subpopulation. Finally, we found that the TK level was an independent prognostic factor for local recurrence. This is consistent with reports that high-labeling index predicted early recurrence in the overall population and in axillary node-negative breast cancer patients.45 Few predictive factors of local recurrence have been identified, and our results could be of potential clinical relevance when discussing the type of surgical treatment for patients with high TK values. However, local relapse is likely to be followed by disseminated disease, on which more radical surgery would be ineffective. In conclusion, these findings could provide the basis for future studies of the clinical utility of TK assay in breast cancer, particularly in node-negative patients. Proliferation indexes such as TK could be used to adjust adjuvant treatment to individual tumor characteristics.
We thank all the pathologists and clinician teams of the different centers who actively participated in the study. We are grateful for the expert technical assistance of the persons involved in the TK assays in each center.
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Copyright © 2001 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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