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Journal of Clinical Oncology, Vol 19, Issue 3 (February), 2001: 812-823
© 2001 American Society for Clinical Oncology

Patient Preferences for Adjuvant Interferon Alfa-2b Treatment

By Kerry L. Kilbridge, Jane C. Weeks, Arthur J. Sober, Frank G. Haluska, Craig L. Slingluff, Michael B. Atkins, Dana E. Sock, John M. Kirkwood, Robert F. Nease

From the Departments of Health Evaluation Sciences, Internal Medicine, and Surgery, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville, VA; Center for Outcomes and Policy Research, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Department of Dermatology and Division of Hematology/Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital; and Division of Hematology/Oncology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center; Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; Division of Medical Oncology at University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; and Laboratory for Medical Decision Sciences, Washington University, School of Medicine, St Louis, MO.

Address reprint requests to Kerry Laing Kilbridge, MD, Department of Health Evaluation Sciences, University of Virginia Health System, HSC P.O. Box 800821, Charlottesville, VA 22908-0821; email: kk4h{at}virginia.edu


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
PURPOSE: Although trials of adjuvant interferon alfa-2b (IFN{alpha}-2b) in high-risk melanoma patients suggest improvement in disease-free survival, it is unclear whether treatment offers improvement in overall survival. Widespread use of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b has been tempered by its significant toxicity. To quantify the trade-offs between IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity and survival, we assessed patient utilities for health states associated with IFN therapy. Utilities are measures of preference for a particular health state on a scale of 0 (death) to 1 (perfect health).

PATIENTS AND METHODS: We assessed utilities for health states associated with adjuvant IFN among 107 low-risk melanoma patients using the standard gamble technique. Health states described four IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity scenarios and the following three posttreatment outcomes: disease-free health and melanoma recurrence (with or without IFN{alpha}-2b) leading to cancer death. We also asked patients the improvement in 5-year disease-free survival they would require to tolerate IFN.

RESULTS: Utilities for melanoma recurrence with or without IFN{alpha}-2b were significantly lower than utilities for all IFN{alpha}-2b toxicities but were not significantly different from each other. At least half of the patients were willing to tolerate mild-moderate and severe IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity for 4% and 10% improvements, respectively, in 5-year disease-free survival.

CONCLUSION: On average, patients rate quality of life with melanoma recurrence much lower than even severe IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity. These results suggest that recurrence-free survival is highly valued by patients. The utilities measured in our study can be applied directly to quality-of-life determinations in clinical trials of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b to measure the net benefit of therapy.


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
DESPITE A TREND toward earlier detection of melanoma, patients with high-risk tumors, defined as deep primary melanoma ( > 4 mm) or melanoma metastatic to regional draining lymph nodes, continue to have a poor prognosis. These patients have a relapse rate of 50% to 90% that usually results in death from melanoma.1-4 Because of the activity of interferon alfa-2b (IFN{alpha}-2b) in patients with metastatic melanoma, there has been considerable interest in its role in the adjuvant setting.5-9 Trials of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b have shown conflicting results,10,11 but one study, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) trial EST 1684, demonstrated improvement in both recurrence-free and overall survival.11 However, enthusiasm for the widespread adoption of adjuvant IFN therapy has been tempered by concerns for the toxicity of the regimen.

The IFN regimen currently believed to be the most promising is prolonged and toxic. Patients receive intravenous IFN{alpha}-2b induction five times per week for 4 weeks followed by subcutaneous maintenance therapy three times per week for 11 months. The most common toxicities are constitutional, especially fever and a flu-like syndrome, as well as hematologic and neurologic. At least 78% of patients who received this regimen in ECOG 1684 experienced grade 3 or worse toxicities; 50% required treatment delay or dose reduction during induction or maintenance, and 23% of patients had to discontinue treatment.11

Thus, concerns arose for the adverse effects of treatment on patients’ quality of life. To address the impact of IFN{alpha}-2b on quality-adjusted life expectancy, Cole et al12 performed an analysis of ECOG 1684 data using the methodology of quality-adjusted time without symptoms and toxicity (Q-TWiST). Depending on a patient’s relative valuation of time spent with the toxicity of treatment or time spent with disease relapse, their study identified the circumstances when adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b resulted in an improvement in quality-adjusted life expectancy.12 However, the investigators did not elicit patient values for treatment toxicity or melanoma relapse but explored quality-adjusted life expectancy using threshold analyses. In other words, if a physician knew a patient’s relative value for treatment and relapse, then the investigation allowed the prediction of whether or not that patient would experience a quality-adjusted benefit from IFN{alpha}-2b, but the study did not measure these actual values.

These relative values have assumed even greater importance with the early analysis of intergroup trial E1690/S9111/C9190, a follow-up trial of adjuvant IFN. Results of the trial suggest that therapy may provide a benefit in terms of recurrence-free survival but no overall survival advantage.10 In light of these findings, the relative values that patients place on side effects of treatment and melanoma recurrence will ultimately play an important role in the decision whether to use adjuvant IFN. Thus, we interviewed patients to elicit their preferences (utilities) for IFN{alpha}-2b toxicities versus melanoma recurrence to quantify patients’ relative values for adjuvant therapy. These values reflect how patients weigh the trade-offs between length of life and quality of life in this particular clinical setting.13 They may be applied to the results of intergroup trial E1690/S9111/C9190, ECOG 1684, the Q-TWiST analysis based on ECOG 1684, and any subsequent studies using a similar regimen, to determine quality-adjusted life expectancy. More importantly, as data become available, these patient utilities can help elucidate when adjuvant therapy may result in a net benefit to treated patients on the basis of recurrence-free survival alone, regardless of whether there is an overall survival benefit.


    PATIENTS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
Patients
Subjects were identified from routine follow-up appointment listings and melanoma patient databases at Massachusetts General Hospital, the University of Virginia Health System, and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center. Patients were eligible for study if their melanoma was categorized as low-risk, defined as a tumor too shallow to be considered for elective or sentinel lymph node dissection, and had no clinically palpable lymph nodes. The criteria for low-risk melanoma were institution-specific, and size ranged from <= 1.0 mm to <= 1.5 mm. The rationale for interviewing patients with low-risk melanoma was to obtain a study population with the necessary familiarity with melanoma but to avoid ethical conflicts that might arise in unduly influencing a patient’s decision for or against adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b therapy (see Discussion). Patients were required to have completed staging and definitive surgical therapy for melanoma before enrollment. Patients unable to speak or read English were excluded.

After permission was obtained from the patients’ primary oncologist, patients were contacted either by an introductory letter with an opt-out card or by a scripted telephone call describing the study. If the opt-out card was returned or the patient declined to participate by phone, no further patient contact took place. If subjects agreed to participate, an appointment for the interview was scheduled, usually at the time of follow-up. The study was described in detail a second time at the appointment, and written informed consent was obtained. Fifty patients were contacted by telephone; seven patients declined, and 43 patients agreed to participate. Two hundred twenty-seven patients were initially contacted through the mail, 30 patients returned opt-out cards. Of the remaining 197 patients, 128 patients were then contacted by telephone to schedule an interview; the other 69 were never contacted further because enrollment was achieved. At the time of phone contact, 29 patients subsequently declined to participate. Of the total 142 patients who agreed to participate in the investigation, 107 were interviewed, and 34 could not be interviewed because of scheduling difficulties. Only one patient initiated the interview, but declined to complete the full study, and was excluded from analysis.

Interview: Utilities
Patients were interviewed by two trained study assistants, using U-Titer, a computerized interactive program designed to provide a standardized instrument for patient preference and utility assessment.14,15 Utility assessments were measured using the standard gamble metric in which patients rate their preference for a particular health state on a scale of 0 (instant painless death) to 1 (perfect health).13,16,17 The interview consisted of a written questionnaire of 10 attitudinal questions as potential utility correlates, followed by a 45-minute computerized U-Titer interview of two test questions and seven health state scenarios. In addition, patients were asked three threshold questions to quantify the minimum benefit in 5-year disease-free survival that makes 1 year of IFN-related toxicity worthwhile.

The first two scenarios, monocular and binocular blindness, were designed to familiarize the subject with the standard gamble technique and to assess the subject’s understanding of the conceptual task. The next five scenarios captured the range of possible outcomes during and after adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b therapy for high-risk melanoma, including a health state describing melanoma recurrence after therapy. A sixth scenario for melanoma recurrence after foregoing adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b treatment was assessed to compare this strategy with adjuvant therapy. A seventh scenario assessed the subject’s values for their current state of health and, thus, provided a utility for a melanoma-free health state. An expert panel of melanoma oncologists participated in the original design of the health state descriptions, which were then extensively pilot tested on both health care professionals and patients before the formal interviews took place. The full text of the health state scenarios is provided in Appendix A. An abbreviated version of each scenario follows: (A) treatment with adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b without side effects (No Side Effects); (B) treatment with adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b with mild-to-moderate clinical side effects (Mild-Moderate Side Effects); (C) treatment with adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b complicated by severe laboratory abnormalities (hepatotoxicity or myelosuppression) requiring dose reduction, but clinically mild-to-moderate side effects (Laboratory Side Effects); (D) treatment with adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b with severe clinical side effects requiring dose reduction (Severe Side Effects); (E) melanoma recurrence after IFN{alpha}-2b followed by treatment for recurrence and death from melanoma (IFN Recurrence, Cancer Death); (F) melanoma recurrence without IFN{alpha}-2b treatment followed by treatment for recurrence and death from melanoma (Recurrence, Cancer Death); (G) current health (Disease-Free). A scenario for a melanoma-free health state after primary treatment (distinct from current health) was included in the original interview. However, after completion of data collection, it became evident that it included an explicit description of a 75% melanoma recurrence rate that all other scenarios did not. Because comparisons of utilities for this scenario with others that do not explicitly contain this information would be misleading, the results for this scenario are not included.

Following the usual convention, standard gambles for the IFN{alpha}-2b–associated health states asked patients what chance of death they would be willing to risk to be free of the symptoms and side effects described for IFN{alpha}-2b treatment.13,16,17 They were asked to imagine two treatments available to lower the chance that melanoma would return. One treatment would involve a year of IFN{alpha}-2b with varying side effects, and a second treatment would involve a single pill. The pill would be taken only once, and no other treatments would be required over the next year. The pill would be just as effective as IFN{alpha}-2b in decreasing the chance that melanoma returns, and it would avoid the toxicity and inconvenience of a year of IFN{alpha}-2b. However, this pill would also result in some risk of instant painless death, which is the usual anchoring point for a standard gamble. The patient was then asked to choose between the following two alternatives: (1) taking the pill knowing that it involved an X% chance of death and a (1-X)% chance of success (the same decrease in melanoma recurrence as IFN{alpha}-2b without the side effects and inconvenience); or (2) the certainty of a year of IFN{alpha}-2b therapy with a decrease in melanoma recurrence. The X% chance of death from the pill was varied in an iterative fashion until the patient declared indifference between the two alternatives. By definition, the (1-X)% chance of success at this point of indifference is equivalent to the patient’s utility for the health state. Both treatments were described as equally effective in decreasing the risk of melanoma recurrence; thus, the life expectancy for IFN{alpha}-2b therapy or a successful pill would be exactly the same. An example of the standard gamble for mild-to-moderate side effects of IFN is contained in Appendix B.

The standard gambles for the two melanoma recurrence scenarios asked patients what chance of death they would be willing to risk to be free of melanoma recurrence. They were asked to imagine the following two options: (1) living with melanoma recurrence ultimately leading to death from cancer or (2) taking a single pill that would rid them of melanoma recurrence and allow them to die of other causes after the same time interval. Once again, the pill was associated with some risk of instant painless death. The patient was then asked to choose between two alternatives: (1) taking the pill with an uncertain outcome, knowing that this option involved an X% chance of instant painless death and a (1-X)% chance of success (a defined life expectancy without melanoma recurrence and death from noncancer causes); and (2) choosing the certainty of life with melanoma recurrence for the same life expectancy, then death from melanoma. Patients live for the same amount of time if they take the pill "successfully" or live with melanoma recurrence, but they die of different causes. The X% chance of death from the pill was varied in an iterative fashion until the patient was indifferent between the two alternatives. At this point of indifference, the (1-X)% chance of success was equivalent to the patient’s utility for melanoma recurrence. An example of the standard gamble for melanoma recurrence after adjuvant IFN treatment is contained in Appendix B.

Interview: Threshold Questions and Attitudinal Questions
In addition to assessing utilities for outcomes associated with IFN{alpha}-2b treatment, we offered our subjects the hypothetical choice between skipping IFN{alpha}-2b treatment (and thus foregoing side effects from treatment), with a 25% chance of being melanoma-free at 5 years (as observed in ECOG 1684), and taking IFN{alpha}-2b with mild-to-moderate side effects with an increased chance of remaining melanoma-free. For each subject, we varied the chance of being melanoma-free after IFN{alpha}-2b therapy until the two options were equally attractive. We then gave our subjects the same hypothetical choice except that IFN was associated with severe clinical side effects. Once again, the chance of being melanoma-free after IFN{alpha}-2b therapy was varied until the two options were equally attractive. Lastly, we asked subjects directly the minimum reduction in the chance of melanoma recurrence needed to offset mild-to-moderate side effects of IFN{alpha}-2b treatment.

We also asked our subjects a series of 10 attitudinal questions ( Table 4) to search for correlations between their responses and their utility measurements. Some of these questions were designed to synthesize aspects of the decision to undergo adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b treatment without the complexity of utility assessment. For instance, the questions "If I had a serious disease, I would gladly accept feeling lousy for a year if it meant having a better chance of surviving longer" and "On a scale of 0 to 100, where 100 = feeling great, and 0 = being dead, think about how you would rate having a bad case of the flu? (fever, headache, nausea, aches, and pains)" were included as summary questions to help subjects quantify their values for the side effects of treatment without the intricacy of utility assessment. Other questions were used in an effort to stratify patients according to their attitudes about risk and consider its correlation with utilities; "I’d rather live a short time in good health than a longer time in very bad health" and "Some health problems are worse than death... you might be better off dead." Two questions were included to assess social support and depression respectively, both of which have been correlated with utilities in other studies; "There is someone to take care of me, no matter how sick I get" and "Over the last month I have been feeling downhearted and blue".


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Table 4. Subjects Are Indifferent Between Options 1 and 2 at a Mean Value of Z of 40% and a Median Value of 35%
 
Medical Record Abstraction and Statistical Methods
Data abstracted from patient records included date of birth, date of melanoma diagnosis, date of definitive melanoma treatment, and confirmation of melanoma pathology and staging. The expected SD of standard gamble utilities assessed using U-Titer is 0.25 (R. Nease, personal communication, May 1997). As a result, a target sample size of 96 subjects was selected to estimate the mean utility of each health state, with a 95% confidence interval of ± 0.05. The Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare patient utilities for all health state scenarios.18 Correlations between attitudinal questions, treatment thresholds, age, time since diagnosis, and utilities were measured using the Spearman rank order correlation coefficient.19 The correlation between sex and utilities was measured using the Mann-Whitney U test.20


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
Study Population Characteristics and Attitudes About the Interview
A total of 107 patients were interviewed, 54 (50%) were men and 53 (50%) were women. The mean age was 50 years, with a range in ages of 23 to 93 years. No nonwhite patients were interviewed. The median time since diagnosis was 2 years (range, 1 month to 21 years). The study was well tolerated, as evident by the responses to questions about how subjects felt about the interview. Only sixteen patients (15%) indicated mild agreement with the statement " I was upset by this interview," and no patients indicated strong agreement. One hundred four subjects (97%) said they strongly agreed or mildly agreed with the statement "My answers do a good job showing how I feel about different health conditions." One hundred three subjects (96%) said they agreed that "These questions made me think hard about my personal values, preferences, and feelings." Lastly, one hundred four subjects (97%) mildly or strongly agreed with the statement "This interview could help doctors better understand how patients feel about their health."

Of the 107 subjects, two provided utilities suggesting that they preferred being blind in both eyes rather than being blind in one eye (utility for monocular blindness less than utility for binocular blindness). An additional 10 subjects provided utilities suggesting a misordering of the treatment outcomes (eg, utility for IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with mild toxicity less than utility for IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with severe toxicity). We excluded interviews from these 12 subjects from the remaining analyses.

Standard Gamble Utilities
Table 1 lists the mean, median, and SD of the utilities for the IFN{alpha}-2b treatment outcomes, melanoma recurrence with or without IFN{alpha}-2b, and disease-free survival, among the remaining 95 subjects. Comparisons between these utilities are listed in Table 2. The utilities for IFN{alpha}-2b therapy with no side effects, mild-to-moderate side effects, or severe side effects (clinical or laboratory) were all statistically significantly higher than the utilities for either of the recurrence outcomes (P < .0001, Wilcoxon signed rank test). Utilities for melanoma recurrence after IFN{alpha}-2b treatment were not statistically significantly different from utilities for melanoma recurrence without previous IFN{alpha}-2b treatment (P = .39, Wilcoxon signed rank test). And the utilities for disease-free survival were significantly greater than the utilities for both recurrence states and all IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity states (P < .0001, Wilcoxon signed rank test). Neither age, time from diagnosis, nor sex was significantly correlated with utilities (P > .05, Spearman rank correlation for the first two variables and Mann-Whitney U test for the last variable).


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Table 1. Standard Gamble Utilities for Health States (N = 95)*
 

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Table 2. Comparisons of Utilities Between Health States P Values for Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test (N = 95)
 
Threshold Benefit: Melanoma-Free 5-Year Survival Necessary to Tolerate IFN{alpha}-2b
The mean chance of being melanoma-free at 5 years after adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b with mild-to-moderate side effects at which subjects were indifferent between this or skipping IFN (with a baseline 5-year melanoma-free survival of 25%)11 was 32% and the median was 29%, as illustrated in Table 3. In other words, for the average subject, if IFN{alpha}-2b treatment were certain to cause mild-to-moderate side effects, it would have to offer at least a 32% chance of being melanoma-free at 5 years to be preferred to a side effect-free treatment with a 25% chance of being melanoma-free at five years. This measure of patient preference for avoiding mild-to-moderate side effects of IFN{alpha}-2b treatment was correlated with the utilities for IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with mild-to-moderate side effects (Spearman rank order correlation coefficient = -0.24, P = .023).


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Table 3. Subjects Are Indifferent Between Options 1 and 2 at a Mean Value of X of 32% and a Median Value of 29%
 
We performed a similar assessment in which the second option was IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with severe clinical side effects requiring dose-adjustment (instead of treatment with mild-to-moderate side effects). The mean chance of being melanoma-free at 5 years with IFN{alpha}-2b treatment and severe side effects at which subjects were indifferent was 40% and the median was 35%, as illustrated in Table 4. This measure of patient preference for avoiding the severe side effects of IFN{alpha}-2b treatment was correlated with utility for IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with severe side effects (Spearman rank order correlation coefficient = -0.23, P = .026). We also asked patients directly the minimum reduction in the chance of melanoma recurrence they believed was needed to justify IFN{alpha}-2b treatment with mild-to-moderate side effects. Table 5 lists the answers of the 95 subjects. These responses were associated with the utilities for IFN{alpha}-2b with mild-to-moderate side effects (Spearman rank order correlation coefficient = -0.45, P < .0001).


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Table 5. Minimum Reduction in Melanoma Recurrence to Accept Mild to Moderate Side Effects of Adjuvant IFN
 
Attitudinal Questionnaire: Correlation With Utilities
Table 6 lists Spearman rank correlation coefficients for the association between utilities for treatment outcomes and attitudinal questions. Four items (having melanoma return after toxic treatment being better than having melanoma return without treatment, trade-off between length of life and quality of life, willingness to endure a year of feeling bad to improve the chance of survival, and feeling downhearted and blue during the past month) had statistically significant associations with all four treatment outcomes at a P value of .05 or less. Subjects who agreed with the statement, "If I had a serious disease, I would gladly accept feeling lousy for a year if it meant having a better chance of living longer" had higher utilities than those who disagreed (negative correlation coefficient). Similarly, subjects who agreed with the statement, "Having my cancer return after taking a treatment with bad side effects would be better than having my cancer return without taking that treatment" had higher utilities than those who disagreed. Subjects who had frequently felt downhearted and blue over the past month and subjects who had agreed "I’d rather live a short time in good health than a longer time in very bad health," had lower utilities than those who had not (positive correlation coefficient). Other associations were not consistently statistically significant across all treatment outcomes.


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Table 6. Associations Between Utilities and Attitudinal Questions, Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficients (N = 95)
 

    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
The initial randomized prospective trial of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b for high-risk melanoma patients showed both an overall and a recurrence-free survival benefit for therapy.11 However, the toxicity and lengthy duration of this regimen led to concerns regarding patient quality of life and reluctance to adopt the regimen as standard practice. A more recent investigation continues to suggest a recurrence-free survival benefit but did not show an overall survival benefit for adjuvant therapy.10 In the face of conflicting data on the overall survival benefit of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b, the way that melanoma patients value the toxicity of treatment and melanoma recurrence becomes even more important in the determination of whether to consider adjuvant treatment. Thus, we measured patient preferences for melanoma recurrence and the toxicities of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b in an effort to assist these difficult clinical decisions and measure their impact on patients’ quality of life.

The population of melanoma patients we studied had remarkably high utilities for even the most severe side effects of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b. In other words, they would be unwilling to accept more than a small compromise in life expectancy to avoid treatment-related toxicity. In contrast, subjects’ utilities for melanoma recurrence were quite low. Time spent with recurrence was felt to be worth only 63% of time spent disease-free (mean utility, 0.61 v 0.96, respectively). The combination of these two findings suggests that many of these subjects are willing to accept a lengthy regimen of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b therapy with severe side effects to avoid recurrence. We also examined the threshold improvement in disease-free survival necessary for patients to accept the toxicities and inconvenience of adjuvant therapy. We found that at least 50% of our subjects were willing to tolerate mild-to-moderate side effects from adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b in return for an absolute improvement in 5-year disease-free survival of 4% or more. And at least 50% of our subjects were willing to endure severe side effects from IFN{alpha}-2b for an absolute improvement in 5-year disease-free survival of 10% or more, as shown in Tables 3 and 4, respectively. Finally, we observed marked heterogeneity in patient preferences for the side effects of treatment and melanoma recurrence as documented by the wide SDs for these health states.

The most striking finding in our investigation is the significantly lower utilities for melanoma recurrence compared with utilities for the most severe toxicities of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b (mean utilities 0.62 and 0.61 v 0.81, respectively). We believe that much of this difference is due to the health state description of melanoma recurrence leading to cancer death. Such low utilities mean that patients are willing to accept a substantial risk of instant painless death in the standard gamble to avoid melanoma recurrence and death from cancer. However, it should be noted that patients weren’t given the option of living longer in the standard gamble when they opt to avoid melanoma recurrence. Instead, patients were choosing between melanoma recurrence or a pill that allowed them to die of noncancer causes after living without recurrence for the same time interval (see Appendix B). It is also interesting that most time in the recurrence health state is described as living with a relatively intact functional status but experiencing the inconvenience of therapy for recurrent tumor. The recurrence description is not unlike the clinical experience in the scenario of mild-to-moderate side effects from IFN{alpha}-2b therapy. Only during the time immediately before cancer death do we describe a marked decline in ability to perform the usual activities of daily living. The implications of our findings are that melanoma recurrence is extremely undesirable and that disease-free survival is highly valued by patients.

Another important finding from our study is the marked variation in utilities from patient to patient, as demonstrated by the large SDs for the utilities for all health states. This variation suggests that patients differ in how they feel about the outcomes of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b treatment for high-risk malignant melanoma. Although our findings suggest that, in general, patients have lower utilities for recurrence than for treatment toxicity, some individual patients do not; 13 of our 95 subjects, for example, had lower utilities for treatment with severe toxicity than for melanoma recurrence. Further comparison of the SDs among health states reveals that the more severe the experience in a health state, the wider the SD associated with the utilities for that health state. Investigators have documented the same ceiling effect in other studies and interpreted it as the unwillingness of subjects to risk death in a standard gamble for relatively benign health states.16,17,21 As a result, it becomes more difficult to distinguish small differences in the utilities between subjects for these health states.

Our investigation has several limitations. Foremost, we did not interview the high-risk melanoma patients who would actually consider adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b, using instead a surrogate, but informed, relevant patient population. Although the possible benefit of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b is among patients with high-risk thick primary tumors ( > 4 mm) or melanoma metastatic to draining regional lymph nodes, we chose to interview low-risk melanoma patients for several reasons. First, interviewing high-risk melanoma patients on IFN{alpha}-2b therapy would have introduced an unacceptable selection bias in favor of treatment because these patients have chosen to receive this therapy. The goal of this study was to examine the preferences of melanoma patients with respect to decision making before treatment; in this context, low-risk patients are quite similar to high-risk patients. For either group of patients, the side effects of IFN and the possibility of melanoma recurrence are entirely theoretical. Even the high-risk patient cannot have the foreknowledge of which constellation of IFN side effects he might experience or whether his melanoma may return. A second reason for interviewing low-risk patients is that identifying and interviewing high-risk patients during the very short period of time after clinical staging but before the decision whether to undergo IFN{alpha}-2b treatment would be practically quite difficult. Third and most importantly, we felt that the introduction of a research interview with impact on clinical care into the actual decision process raised serious ethical concerns.

Therefore, we chose to interview low-risk melanoma patients. This patient population is also at some risk for recurrent disease and has likely considered how they would feel about this outcome. But because they had not and will not be offered adjuvant therapy for their current treatment, there was no possibility that the study would interfere with their decision-making process. Clearly, though, they are functioning as surrogates for the patients of primary interest here, those with high-risk melanoma who are candidates for adjuvant therapy. We can only speculate about how the utilities of the low-risk patients in our sample might differ from those of high-risk patients facing an actual decision about adjuvant treatment, but it seems likely that patients with low-risk disease would be less accepting of the toxicity of adjuvant treatment because they know they have a better prognosis than the patients described in the scenarios. As a result, any bias introduced by using this surrogate population probably resulted in an under rather than an overestimate of the utilities for IFN{alpha}-2b toxicity. Similarly, as with any investigation falling short of a 100% participation rate, we can only speculate whether the utilities of the 24% of patients who declined to participate differ in any systematic way from those patients who agreed to be interviewed for our study.

Two related limitations of our study are that we cannot address how the utilities of high-risk melanoma patients change over the course of adjuvant IFN treatment nor can we address how the knowledge of such utilities might influence decision-making before treatment. Both questions raise important considerations in the general use of adjuvant therapy throughout the field of oncology. Do the preferences of patients who experience therapy affect the decisions of patients considering therapy? Do patients accommodate to severe side effects? Do patients who have undergone adjuvant therapies experience regret if their tumors recur? Would these patients go through therapy all over again with the benefit of hindsight? Unfortunately, the assessment of utilities in high-risk melanoma patients before, during, and after adjuvant IFN therapy, though critical to our understanding of patient preferences, is beyond the scope of our investigation.

Although disease-free survival may depend on the frequency of follow-up and the degree with which caregivers pursue their suspicions of tumor recurrence, it is frequently reported as a secondary end point in clinical trials. The primary outcome for most clinical oncology trials, however, remains overall survival as a measure of irrefutable benefit. Conflicting results from randomized prospective trials of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b therapy for patients with high-risk malignant melanoma have now rendered its overall survival benefit uncertain.10,11 However, data continue to suggest a benefit in disease-free survival that must be weighed against the substantial toxicities associated with the treatment. Although previous studies have identified thresholds for this trade-off,12 our study is the first to measure patient preferences for the outcomes associated with adjuvant therapy. Our findings show that, on average, patients are much more bothered by the prospect of melanoma recurrence than by treatment toxicity. These results suggest that disease-free survival is an important clinical end point that is highly valued by patients, even with the substantial toxicities that accompany adjuvant therapy.

The work by Cole et al12 establishes an important precedent for our current investigation and provides a framework with which to interpret the results reported here. These researchers determined the quality-adjusted benefit of adjuvant IFN treatment based on results of ECOG trial E1684 by accounting for patient utilities for IFN toxicity paired with utilities for melanoma recurrence. They were able to identify utility thresholds above which patients would experience an improvement in quality-adjusted life expectancy even accounting for the toxicity of adjuvant IFN therapy. However, they pointed out that "to use the threshold utility analysis for decision-making it is necessary to obtain an individual patient’s specific utility weights."12 Such weights were not available to the investigators at the time of their analysis but can now be supplied with the results of our current study.

Ultimately, the utilities measured in our study can be applied directly to quality-of-life determinations incorporating more recent trial results than those available to Cole et al12 and any results of subsequent trials in the future. Thus, the net benefit of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b treatment can be established weighing both the quantity and quality of any improvements observed in overall and disease-free survival. One of the important issues that can be addressed in such quality-of-life analysis is the benefit of late IFN therapy administered at the time of melanoma recurrence. Because there is no longer a clear benefit of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b in terms of overall survival, it is possible that IFN administered at the time of recurrence may provide equivalent survival benefit to adjuvant therapy. Our utility data con- sider late IFN indirectly because the health state description of melanoma recurrence included the possibilities of surgery, radiation, and medical therapies (including, but not explicitly, late IFN). As data comparing the timing of IFN therapy become available, trial data can be combined with the utilities we report here to determine the quality-adjusted benefit of adjuvant versus late IFN. Applications of our utility data combined with clinical trial data are ongoing and are expected to provide further insight into the questions surrounding adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b therapy for patients with high-risk malignant melanoma. In addition, as clinical trial data become available for other treatment options for high-risk melanoma, utility investigations similar to our own can be used to assess patient preferences for trial outcomes including side effects and disease-free and overall survival. These utilities can be incorporated together with the preferences we report here to allow the direct comparisons of the quality-adjusted benefits of adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b versus other therapies. In this sense, utilities are modular, and the availability of utilities for other effective therapies in the future will complement the measurement of utilities for adjuvant IFN{alpha}-2b in our current study.

APPENDIX A: Health State Scenarios
Treatment in General Getting started on the interferon treatment takes about a month. During that month, you will get your interferon by IV (a needle is put into your vein to get the medicine in) every weekday. This means that you will need to drive to and from your doctor’s office. Getting the IV treatment takes about an hour.

After the first month, you will give yourself the interferon 3 days a week (Monday, Wednesday, and Friday) for the remaining 11 months. This means giving yourself a shot under the skin. Your doctor will also ask you to take Tylenol to try to prevent fever.

Your doctor will test your blood every week for the first 2 months of your treatment; and then once 3 months, 4 months, 6 months, and 9 months after starting your treatment. This test will require that some blood be drawn from your arm.

A: Interferon Treatment Without Side Effects
The interferon treatment lasts about 1 year. We want you to imagine that the treatment has no side effects but requires doctor visits and blood tests. During the year you will have your usual quality of life.

Getting started on the interferon treatment takes about a month. During that month you will get your interferon by IV (a needle is put into your vein to get the medicine in) every weekday. This means that you will need to drive to and from your doctor’s office. Getting the IV treatment takes about an hour.

After the first month, you will give yourself the interferon 3 days a week (Monday, Wednesday, and Friday) for the remaining 11 months. This means giving yourself a shot under the skin. Your doctor will also ask you to take Tylenol to try to prevent fever.

Your doctor will test your blood every week for the first 2 months of your treatment; and then once 3 months, 4 months, 6 months, and 9 months after starting your treatment. This test will require that some blood be drawn from your arm.

Because you have no side effects from your treatment, you:

  • Spend no extra time resting;
  • Do not take any other medicine;
  • Have your usual interest in sexual activity;
  • Can do heavy chores (like moving furniture or carrying something heavy upstairs);
  • Can enjoy strenuous leisure activities (like playing singles tennis or bicycling at moderate speed).

You will continue the interferon treatment for a year. At the end of your treatment, you will feel fine and will be able to do all your usual activities.

B: Interferon Treatment With Mild-to-Moderate Side Effects
The interferon treatment lasts about 1 year (see the card labeled Treatment in General). We want you to imagine that the treatment causes the side effects described below; after that year you will have your usual quality of life.

Side effects of treatment.
In this scenario, we want you to imagine that the interferon causes mild-to-moderate side effects that make you feel like you have the flu. This means that you will have some of the following symptoms:

  • Nausea and vomiting
  • Diarrhea
  • Fever
  • Headache
  • Muscle and joint aches
  • Fatigue
  • Mild depression or the blues
  • Weight loss

You will mostly feel this way on the days after you take your interferon (weekdays during the first month of the treatment; Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday during the remaining 11 months). When you feel like you have the flu, you:

  • Will spend a little more time than usual resting;
  • May have to take over-the-counter medicine for your aches;
  • May be less interested in sexual activity than usual;
  • May avoid heavy chores (like moving furniture or carrying something heavy up stairs);
  • May avoid strenuous leisure activities (like playing singles tennis or bicycling at moderate speed).

Although you will feel the worst on the days after you take your interferon treatment, you may feel a little off on the other days as well. You will continue your interferon treatment for a year. At the end of your treatment, you will feel fine and will be able to do all of your usual activities.

C: Interferon Treatment Adjusted Because of Abnormal Blood Tests, Mild-to-Moderate Symptoms
The interferon treatment lasts about 1 year (see the card labeled Treatment in General). We want you to imagine that the treatment causes the side effects described below; after that year you will have your usual quality of life.

Side Effects of Treatment.
We want you to imagine that you have mild-to-moderate side effects most of the time. The main difference in this scenario is that you develop abnormalities in your blood tests part way through the treatment. These abnormalities do not cause you worse symptoms, but they do cause your doctor to decrease or stop your dose of interferon. In this scenario, we want you imagine that you feel like you have the flu. This means that you will have some of the following symptoms:

  • Nausea and vomiting
  • Diarrhea
  • Fever
  • Headache
  • Muscle and joint aches
  • Fatigue
  • Mild depression or the blues
  • Weight loss

You will mostly feel this way on the days after you take your interferon (weekdays during the first month of the treatment; Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday during the remaining 11 months). When you feel like you have the flu, you:

  • Will spend a little more time than usual resting;
  • May have to take over-the-counter medicine for your aches;
  • May be less interested in sexual activity than usual;
  • May avoid heavy chores (like moving furniture or carrying something heavy up stairs);
  • May avoid strenuous leisure activities (like playing singles tennis or bicycling at moderate speed).

Although you will feel the worst on the days after you take your interferon treatment, you may feel a little off on the other days as well.

Then, your doctor notices serious abnormalities in your blood tests. Most of the time these abnormalities occur during the first month of IV therapy. These abnormalities do not cause you to have worse symptoms, but they do require that your doctor decrease the dose of your interferon to avoid complications. If the abnormalities continue, your doctor may have you stop your treatment. If the abnormalities improve, you will continue for a full year of interferon treatment. Seven out of 10 patients do not have to stop their treatment and are able to continue interferon. Until you finish your treatment, you will feel like you have the flu.

It is important to know that interferon is effective regardless of whether your doctor has had to decrease the dose or stop your treatment. At the end of your treatment, you will feel fine and will be able to do all of your usual activities.

D: Interferon Treatment Adjusted Because of Severe Side Effects
The interferon treatment lasts about 1 year (see the card labeled Treatment in General). We want you to imagine that the treatment causes the side effects described below; after that year you will have your usual quality of life.

Side effects of treatment.
In this scenario, we want you to imagine that you have mild-to-moderate side effects most of the time. The main difference in this scenario is that you have at least one episode of severe side effects part way through the treatment that requires your doctor to adjust your interferon dose.

Early in your interferon treatment you feel like you have the flu. Just like the previous descriptions, your symptoms are worst on the days after you take your interferon (weekdays the first month and 3 times a week for the rest of your treatment). During that time, you may have nausea and vomiting, fever, headache, muscle-aches, fatigue, mild depression, or weight loss. When you feel like you have the flu you spend more time than usual resting, may take medicine for aches, are less interested in sex, avoid heavy chores, and avoid strenuous leisure activities.

In this scenario, we want you to imagine that part way through the interferon treatment you develop severe side effects. Approximately half of patients with severe side effects will have more than one episode, usually in the first 6 months of treatment. During these episodes (which usually last several days but possibly several weeks), the treatment makes you feel like you have a bad case of the flu. The interferon treatment may severely affect your mood and your ability to think. You will have at least one, and maybe more, of the following symptoms:

  • Very high fevers with chills;
  • Feeling so tired that you spend more than half your time in bed;
  • Severe muscle aches and pains requiring that you take strong medicine for pain relief
  • Frequent vomiting requiring IV fluids (a needle put into your vein for fluid);
  • Severe diarrhea requiring IV fluids (a needle put into your vein for fluid);
  • Loss of appetite with significant weight loss;
  • Difficulty thinking or confusion;
  • Severe sleepiness (rarely leading to seizures);
  • Moderate to suicidal depression;
  • Severe headache.

You will feel this way most of the time for several days (possibly several weeks) and you:

  • Will spend at least half your time in bed;
  • May have to take strong medicine for your aches;
  • Will have difficulty bathing and dressing yourself;
  • Will not be interested in sexual activity;
  • Will not be able to do even light chores (like doing the dishes or washing the car);
  • Will not be able to do even light leisure activities (like playing cards or going for a slow walk).

Because of your side effects, your doctor will lower your dose of interferon. Just over half of patients with severe side effects need dose adjustment during the first month of IV therapy. The rest need dose adjustment during the interferon shots, usually in the first few months. If your side effects continue to be severe, your doctor may stop your treatment. This happens to about four out of 10 patients with severe side effects. If your side effects improve, you will continue for a full year of interferon treatment. Until you finish your treatment, you will feel like you have a mild-to-moderate case of the flu.

It is important to know that interferon is effective regardless of whether your doctor has had to decrease the dose or stop your treatment. At the end of your treatment, you will feel fine and will be able to do all of your usual activities.

E: Cancer Returns After Interferon Treatment
Imagine that you completed a year of interferon treatment. For 1 month you received your interferon by IV. After the first month, you gave yourself the interferon with a shot under the skin for 3 days a week over the next 11 months. During your treatment, you felt like you had the flu. You saw your doctor frequently and needed to have blood tests. When you finished your treatment, you felt fine. You were seeing your cancer doctors regularly when one discovers that the melanoma has recurred. The melanoma may have returned at its original site, or it may have spread to other areas in the body.

After the melanoma returns, you may undergo further treatment for the tumor and any symptoms it might cause. This treatment may include more surgery, radiation treatment, or medicines like chemotherapy. Some of these treatments may cause side effects. You will also need to see your doctor more frequently so he can supervise your care closely and minimize any side effects of treatment or symptoms from the melanoma.

Early after the melanoma returns you:

  • Will spend a little more time than usual resting;
  • May have to take over-the-counter medicine for your pain;
  • May be less interested in sexual activity than usual;
  • May avoid heavy chores (like moving furniture or carrying something heavy up stairs);
  • May avoid strenuous leisure activities (like playing singles tennis or bicycling at moderate speed).

Later, after you have been living with your recurrent melanoma for a time, you have progressively more symptoms from your cancer, which eventually causes your death. When you have more symptoms, you:

  • Will spend at least half your time in bed;
  • May have to take strong medicine for your pain;
  • Will have difficulty bathing and dressing yourself;
  • Will not be interested in sexual activity;
  • Will not be able to do even light chores (like doing the dishes or washing the car);
  • Will not be able to do even light leisure activities (like playing cards or going for a slow walk).

F: Cancer Returns After No Interferon Treatment
Imagine that you decided not to have interferon treatment. Your melanoma has been surgically removed and you were seeing your cancer doctors regularly when one discovers that the melanoma has recurred. The melanoma may have returned at its original site, or it may have spread to other areas in the body.

After the melanoma returns, you may undergo further treatment for the tumor and any symptoms it might cause. This treatment may include more surgery, radiation treatment, or medicines like chemotherapy. Some of these treatments may cause side effects. You will also need to see your doctor more frequently so he can supervise your care closely and minimize any side effects of treatment or symptoms from the melanoma.

Early after the melanoma returns you:

  • Will spend a little more time than usual resting;
  • May have to take over-the-counter medicine for your pain;
  • May be less interested in sexual activity than usual;
  • May avoid heavy chores (like moving furniture or carrying something heavy up stairs);
  • May avoid strenuous leisure activities (like playing singles tennis or bicycling at moderate speed).

Later, after you have been living with your recurrent melanoma for a time, you have progressively more symptoms from your cancer, which eventually causes your death. When you have more symptoms, you:

  • Will spend at least half your time in bed;
  • May have to take strong medicine for your pain;
  • Will have difficulty bathing and dressing yourself;
  • Will not be interested in sexual activity;
  • Will not be able to do even light chores (like doing the dishes or washing the car);
  • Will not be able to do even light leisure activities (like playing cards or going for a slow walk).

G: Disease-Free
You can live the rest of your life with your current health, including any health troubles you have right now.


    APPENDIX B: Examples of Standard Gambles
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
Example 1: Standard Gamble for Interferon with Mild-to-Moderate Side Effects as an Example of Side Effect Gambles
Imagine that you have just been told that you have high-risk malignant melanoma that has a significant chance of returning and making you sick. Suppose that there are two treatments available to lower the chance that the melanoma will return.

Option 1 is described on the card the research assistant just handed to you (Interferon Treatment With Mild-to-Moderate Side Effects). Please take time to read the interferon Treatment With Mild-to-Moderate Side Effects card.

Option 2 involves taking a single pill. You only have to take the pill once, and you don’t have to get any more treatments over the next year. Option 2 involves no side effects and is quick and easy, but there is a chance that you will die from the pill. If you die from the pill, it will happen right away, and it will be painless. If you don’t die from the pill, you don’t need any other treatments.

Options 1 and 2 are equally good at treating your disease; if you survive option 2, you will avoid any of the hassles and complications of Option 1 and do just as well in the long term. Think about what risks you would take With Option 2 to avoid Option 1.

Example 2: Standard Gamble for Melanoma Returns After Interferon Treatment as an Example of Recurrence Gambles
Imagine that you were treated for high-risk malignant melanoma several years ago. As part of the treatment, you decided to have interferon treatment. Since the time of your treatment, you may have wondered if and when your melanoma would return. Now imagine that during a regular check-up your doctor tells you that the malignant melanoma has returned.

Please take time to read Melanoma Returns After Interferon Treatment, as described on the card the research assistant just handed you. Think about how you would feel about the malignant melanoma returning after your treatment. Now imagine that you can pick between two options.

With option 1, you live with melanoma after interferon treatment. With this option, you die from malignant melanoma in about 2 more years. With option 2, you take a pill. If the pill works, you live without melanoma but die from other causes in about 2 more years. If the pill doesn’t work, you die painlessly today.

With both options, you live about the same length of time, 2 more years. Think which option you’d rather have.


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
This study was supported in part by a research grant from Integrated Therapeutics Group, a subsidiary of Schering-Plough, Kenilworth, NJ.


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 PATIENTS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 APPENDIX B: Examples of...
 REFERENCES
 
1. Balch CM, Murad TM, Soong SJ, et al: A multifactorial analysis of melanoma: Prognostic histopathological features comparing Clark’s and Breslow’s staging methods. Ann Surg 188: 732-742, 1978[Medline]

2. Balch CM, Soong SJ, Murad TM, et al: A multifactorial analysis of melanoma: III. Prognostic factors in melanoma patients with lymph node metastases (stage II). Ann Surg 193: 377-388, 1981[Medline]

3. Balch CM, Soong SJ, Milton GW, et al: A comparison of prognostic factors and surgical results in 1,786 patients with localized (stage I) melanoma treated in Alabama, USA, and New South Wales, Australia. Ann Surg 196: 677-684, 1982[Medline]

4. Clark WH Jr, Elder DE, Guerry DT, et al: Model predicting survival in stage I melanoma based on tumor progression. J Natl Cancer Inst 81: 1893-1904, 1989[Abstract/Free Full Text]

5. Kirkwood J, Ernstoff M: Clinical applications: Cutaneous melanoma, in DeVita V, Hellman S, Rosenberg S (eds): Biologic Therapy of Cancer. Philadelphia, PA, Lippincott, 1991, pp 311-333

6. Kirkwood J, Agarwala S: Systemic cytotoxic and biologic therapy of melanoma. PPO Updates 7: 1-16, 1993

7. Dorval T, Palangie T, Jouve M, et al: Clinical phase II trial of recombinant DNA interferon (interferon alpha 2b) in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma. Cancer 58: 215-218, 1986[Medline]

8. Sertoli MR, Bernengo MG, Ardizzoni A, et al: Phase II trial of recombinant alpha-2b interferon in the treatment of metastatic skin melanoma. Oncology 46: 96-98, 1989[Medline]

9. Robinson WA, Mughal TI, Thomas MR, et al: Treatment of metastatic malignant melanoma with recombinant interferon alpha 2. Immunobiology 172: 275-282, 1986[Medline]

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11. Kirkwood JM, Strawderman MH, Ernstoff MS, et al: Interferon alfa-2b adjuvant therapy of high-risk resected cutaneous melanoma: The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Trial EST 1684. J Clin Oncol 14: 7-17, 1996[Abstract]

12. Cole BF, Gelber RD, Kirkwood JM, et al: Quality-of-life-adjusted survival analysis of interferon alfa-2b adjuvant treatment of high-risk resected cutaneous melanoma: An Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group study. J Clin Oncol 14: 2666-2673, 1996[Abstract/Free Full Text]

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17. Gold M, Patrick D, Torrance G, et al: Identifying and valuing outcomes, in Gold M, Siegel J, Russel L, et al (eds): Cost-effectiveness in health and medicine. New York, NY, Oxford University Press, 1996, pp 82-134

18. Wilcoxon F: Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biometrics 1: 80-83, 1945

19. Ramsey P: Critical values for Spearman’s rank order correlation. J Educ Stat 14: 245-253, 1988

20. Mann HB, Whitney DR: On a test of whether one or two random variables is stochastically larger than the other. Ann Math Stat 18: 50-60, 1947

21. O’Leary JF, Fairclough DL, Jankowski MK, et al: Comparison of time-tradeoff utilities and rating scale values of cancer patients and their relatives: Evidence for a possible plateau relationship. Med Decis Making 15: 132-137, 1995[Abstract/Free Full Text]

Submitted March 15, 2000; accepted October 3, 2000.


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