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© 2002 American Society for Clinical Oncology Thymidylate Synthase Expression in Colorectal Cancer: A Prognostic and Predictive Marker of Benefit From Adjuvant Fluorouracil-Based ChemotherapyByFrom the Department of Surgery, South Hospital, Stockholm; Department of Oncology, Uppsala Akademiska Hospital, Uppsala; Department of Oncology Karolinska Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Oncology, Vejle Hospital, Vejle, Denmark; and Department of Oncology, Queens University of Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland. Address reprint requests to David Edler, MD, Department of Surgery, Karolinska Hospital, S-17176 Stockholm, Sweden; email: david.edler{at}swipnet.se
PURPOSE: We studied the prognostic value of thymidylate synthase (TS) expression in primary colorectal cancer (CRC) and the role of TS expression as a predictor of chemotherapeutic benefit in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: TS expression was immunohistochemically assessed on tumor sections from 862 patients with CRC Dukes stages B and C enrolled onto randomized trials evaluating fluorouracil (5-FU)-based adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: TS expression was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free (P = .05) and overall survival (P = .05). In the subgroup treated with surgery alone, TS was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free (P < .001) and overall survival (P = .001), whereas this was not the case in the subgroup of adjuvantly treated patients. Patients whose tumors expressed high TS levels had a tendency to improved outcome after adjuvant therapy (not significant). The group whose tumors expressed the highest TS grade, grade 3 (34% of the patients), had a significantly longer disease-free survival if they were treated with adjuvant therapy compared with surgery alone (multivariate analyses, P = .02), whereas patients whose tumors expressed low TS levels (28% of the patients) had an impaired outcome after adjuvant therapy (multivariate analyses: disease-free survival, P = .01; overall survival, P = .01). CONCLUSION: TS expression predicts for survival independent of Dukes stage in patients with CRC treated with surgery alone. The study indicates that patients with high TS levels may benefit from adjuvant 5-FUbased chemotherapy. However, patients with low TS levels seem to have a worse outcome when treated with adjuvant chemotherapy.
COLORECTAL CANCER (CRC) is one of the most common tumor types in the world, with approximately 400,000 deaths annually.1 At present, only the stage of the disease is widely accepted as a prognostic factor.2 However, in each stage, there are patients whose tumors are more aggressive and others that behave more indolently. Therefore, it is important to identify additional factors that may enhance the prognostic strength. Intratumoral expression of the enzyme thymidylate synthase (TS) may be a factor that, independent of stage, can forecast prognosis in primary CRC3-8 and in disseminated disease. The TS levels are not only of importance in predicting the natural course of the disease but may also predict the sensitivity of cancer cells to fluorouracil (5-FU),9-16 which is widely used both in the adjuvant setting and in the treatment of disseminated CRC. TS is involved in the biosynthesis of DNA and is considered to be the main intracellular target of 5-FU.17 In the present investigation, we retrospectively examined the possible prognostic relevance of intratumoral levels of TS in 862 CRC patients who were included in Nordic adjuvant trials examining the clinical value of postoperative 5-FUbased chemotherapy in patients with Dukes B and C cancer. Since patients were randomized between surgery only and surgery followed by chemotherapy, we had the possibility to assess the relationships between TS expression and clinical events both in chemotherapy-treated and nonchemotherapy-treated patients.
Tumor specimens examined for TS expression were obtained from 862 patients with CRC Dukes stages B and C who were operated on during the time period September 1991 to December 1996. All patients were included in prospective randomized trials. In 1991, several Nordic groups initiated trials in which patients were randomized between surgery alone or surgery plus adjuvant therapy, this being either 5-FU plus levamisole according to the Moertel regimen,18,19 or 5-FU plus leucovorin according to a modified Mayo schedule,20 or according to the Nordic schedule,21 with or without levamisole. Each group chose their own adjuvant therapy. The addition of levamisole was based on randomization at participating hospitals. A total of 2,191 patients have been enrolled onto these trials during the time period September 1991 to December 1996. Our patient sample was obtained from 28 hospitals from two health care regions in Sweden and from two hospitals in Denmark. From the Stockholm region, 323 patients were examined with respect of TS expression, 457 patients from the Uppsala-Örebro region, and 82 patients from Århus-Åhlborg. Tumor material was available from 862 (93%) of 928 patients enrolled onto the trials at the 28 hospitals contributing patients to this study. The age of the patients ranged between 23 and 75 years (mean, 62 years; median, 65 years). Other characteristics such as sex, tumor localization, stage of the disease according to Dukes classification, and TS-expression of the primary tumors are listed in Table 1.
Treatment of Patients After radical surgery of the primary tumor, patients up to the age of 75 years with Dukes B and C adenocarcinoma and without other malignancies during the past 5 years were randomized into the two main groups: no adjuvant treatment, and adjuvant 5-FUbased chemotherapy. The latter treatment was to be started within 10 weeks after surgery. The adjuvant therapies were as follows:
Clinical data, such as the development of local recurrence, distant metastases, and death, were obtained from the registries at the oncologic centers in Stockholm, Uppsala, and Denmark.
Tissue Samples
TS Staining Technique
Scoring of Immunohistochemical Staining
Statistical Analyses
Patient Demographics The TS study population comprised 862 patients. The age of the study population ranged between 23 and 75 years (mean, 62 years). Two hundred sixty-nine patients (31%) developed tumor recurrence. During the follow-up period, 308 patients (36%) died, 244 (79%) of them because of CRC.
Pathologic Correlations
Clinical Correlations
By univariate analyses, DFS and OS were significantly linked to Dukes stage (DFS, P < .0001; OS, P < .0001), sex (females had a better clinical outcome; DFS, P = .03; OS, P = .07), and TS expression (DFS, P = .04; OS, P = .04) within the primary tumor (Table 1). Multivariate analyses revealed that DFS and OS remained statistically significantly associated with Dukes stage (DFS, P < .0001; OS, P < .0001), sex (DFS, P = .02; OS P = .05), and TS expression (DFS, P = .05; OS, P = .05) (Table 1). The overall survival pattern is illustrated in Fig 2. In low and high TS expressors, survival was identical during the first 18 months. However, afterward they diverged, with higher relapse and death rates among high TS expressors compared with low TS expressors.
As the study population included a subgroup treated with surgery alone (442 patients) and a group treated with surgery plus 5-FUbased adjuvant therapy (420 patients), these two groups were analyzed separately. By multivariate analyses, Dukes stage remained an important prognostic factor of survival (DFS and OS, P < .0001) (Table 2) in both groups. However, differences in the prognostic importance of TS expression were observed between the adjuvantly treated and untreated groups. In the group treated with surgery alone, TS expression was inversely correlated with both DFS and OS (DFS, P < .001; OS, P = .001) (Table 2 and Fig 3A). This was also true when patients were stratified according to Dukes stage (Fig 3B and 3C). Multivariate analyses showed that TS expression remained a prognostic factor in the whole group of patients treated with surgery alone (DFS, P < .001; OS, P = .001) (Table 2) and also when they were divided according to Dukes stage B and C treated with surgery alone (OS, Dukes B, P = .04; OS, Dukes C, P = .015). In the group treated with surgery and adjuvant therapy, only Dukes stage was a prognostic factor (DFS and OS, P < .0001) (Table 2).
Correlation Between TS Expression and Outcome of Adjuvant Chemotherapy TS expression had no prognostic value with regard to survival in the group treated with adjuvant 5-FU (DFS, P = .4; OS, P = .5) (Table 2). For patients with high TS expression, no statistically significant differences in DFS or OS were noted (DFS, P = .2; OS, P = .3) (Fig 4), although a trend toward benefit from 5-FU was seen. In the group of patients whose tumors expressed TS grade 3 (34% of the patients), however, adjuvant chemotherapy seemed to improve DFS (P = .04) (Fig 5), and there was a tendency toward improved disease-specific survival and OS in the group of patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (P = .12 and P = .18, respectively). In multivariate analyses, adjuvant treatment (P = .02), Dukes stage (P < .0001), and sex (P = .03) were independent prognostic factors for DFS in the group of patient whose tumors expressed TS grade 3.
Patients with low TS levels who were treated with surgery alone had a better DFS (P = .010), OS (P = .008) (Fig 6), and disease-specific survival (P = .011) than patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that Dukes stage (P < .0001), age at time of operation (P = .01), and treatment (surgery v surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy) (P = .01) were independent factors for OS in the low TS subgroup (Table 3). Treatment was also an independent factor for DFS (P = .01) and disease-specific survival (P = .01). By dividing the tumors according to anatomic site, the impaired clinical outcome of adjuvant therapy of patients with low-TS-expressing tumors was found only in right-sided tumors (P < .001) and not in transverse, left-sided, or rectal tumors (P = .4).
TS plays an important role in pyrimidine nucleotide synthesis and represents an important chemotherapeutic target for 5-FU. Previous studies have suggested that the level of intratumoral TS expression in primary CRC may be of prognostic importance; patients whose tumors express a low level of TS have a better DFS and OS compared with patients with high TS levels.3-8,27 Other studies have pointed to the importance of TS in metastatic disease as a predictor of clinical response to 5-FU therapy.9-16 In these studies, the benefit of 5-FUbased therapy is most evident in those patients whose metastatic tumors express low TS levels. The results of this study confirm that the level of TS expression in primary CRC correlates with survival. Patients whose tumors contain low TS levels survive significantly longer than patients with high TS levels. Moreover, the ability of TS to predict survival is independent of Dukes stage. Dukes staging still represents the most powerful prognostic factor in CRC.2 Yet, within each of the Dukes stages examined (Dukes B and C), patients with low TS expression treated with surgery alone had a better outcome than those with high TS expression. This study also examined the impact of TS and its correlation with clinical outcome after adjuvant 5-FUbased chemotherapy. Patients whose tumors expressed high TS, constituting almost 70% of the tumors, and who received adjuvant treatment had a slightly improved clinical outcome, although this did not reach statistical significance. This was in contrast to the results in patients with low TS expression. Patients with low-TS-expressing tumors who received adjuvant therapy had a worse outcome than those who did not, suggesting that 5-FUbased therapy had a deleterious effect on survival in a low-TS population. Several previous reports have suggested that patients whose primary tumors had high TS expression may benefit from 5-FUbased adjuvant treatment and that patients whose tumors had low TS expression do not.4-6 In the study by Johnston et al,4 the monoclonal antibody TS 106 and immunohistochemical technique were used to study tumors from 194 patients with rectal cancer Dukes stage B and C who were entered onto the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project protocol R-01 from 1977 to 1986.28 The treatment arms were surgery with or without radiation or surgery plus lomustine, 5-FU, and vincristine chemotherapy. Adjuvant chemotherapy demonstrated significant improvements in DFS and OS for patients with high TS levels and no benefit in patients whose tumors expressed low TS levels. In the study presented here, 254 of 862 tumors were rectal cancers. Among them, the high TS expressers possibly benefited somewhat, with respect to DFS, after adjuvant therapy (P = .2). In the group of patients with rectal cancer expressing the highest TS grade, grade 3 (n = 89), there was a significant improvement of DFS of patients who were treated with surgery and adjuvant therapy compared with surgery alone (P = .04). There was no deleterious effect of adjuvant therapy in the group of patients with rectal cancer expressing low levels of TS. In the report presented by Johnston et al,4 most rectal cancer patients were operated on before the development of the total mesorectal excision technique,29,30 which reduces the rate of local recurrences, whereas in our study material, many of the rectal cancer patients were operated on using the total mesorectal excision technique. In trials by Yamachika et al,5 including 86 colon cancer patients with stages I to III tumors, and by Takenoue et al,6 with 142 stages I to III colon tumors that were operated on and six stage IV tumors that were curatively operated on, a benefit of 5-FUbased adjuvant chemotherapy was found only in patients whose tumors expressed a high level of TS. In these studies, the percentage of low TS expressors was 81% and 72%, respectively, compared with 31% in the study presented by Johnston et al4 and 28% in this study. We analyzed TS expression in two different parts of each tumor, which increases the probability of classifying a tumor as a high expressor.31 This may be one reason why we recorded a lower rate of low-TS-expressing tumors than other authors. Thus, four studies including the present one show a differential effect of 5-FUbased adjuvant therapy according to TS level. This study, however, is the first to suggest that patients who have low-TS-expressing primary tumors actually show a deleterious effect resulting from adjuvant treatment. The possible benefit of chemotherapy in patients with high TS levels and its deleterious effect in those with low TS levels would not have been predicted on the basis of preclinical models and suggests that the importance of TS expression in the primary tumors is related more to the biology of the disease than to chemoresistance. There was no imbalance with respect to age, sex, site of tumor, stage, and TS expression between the adjuvantly treated group compared with the group treated with surgery only. The group with low-TS-expressing tumors treated with surgery alone showed a distribution of age, sex, site of tumor, and stage similar to the group treated with postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. The reduced survival of the adjuvantly treated patients with tumors expressing low TS could possibly be because of an imbalance in the distribution of unknown prognostic factors between the treatment arms. It could also be because of chance, although the likelihood for this is minor in light of the high statistical significance (P = .01). The methodology itself with the assumption that any area of high TS staining confers high-TS prognosis could be a reason for unexpected findings. We have already started to calculate the percentage of high-TS-staining area in every tumor and to correlate the degree of high staining to the clinical outcome. At present, we prefer not to give any hypothesis concerning biologic explanation for these unexpected results. We have started to examine a new patient population to see whether the present results can be reproduced. It is not possible to draw any conclusions about the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in the Nordic trials on the basis of the presented analyses. This is a retrospective analysis of a subsample which, although comparatively large (about 40% of total), was neither prospectively designed nor powered to identify a 10% absolute gain in 5-year survival. In conclusion, we have shown that the level of TS expression predicts for DFS and OS independent of Dukes stage in patients with CRC treated with surgery alone. The study, together with three previous studies,4-6 also indicates that patients with high TS levels may benefit from adjuvant 5-FUbased chemotherapy. However, patients with low TS levels seem to have a worse outcome when treated with adjuvant 5-FUbased chemotherapy. Further prospective studies measuring TS levels are now necessary to understand the role of TS as a prognosticator of survival and DFS, and as a predictor of chemotherapeutic benefit in patients with CRC.
Supported by grants from the Dagmar Ferb Memorial Foundation, Cancerföreningen in Stockholm, Gustav V Jubilee Foundation, Bengt Ihre Foundation of the Swedish Society of Medicine, Minerva Foundation, Ruth and Rickard Juhlin Foundation, Robert Lundberg Foundation, Swedish Society for Medical Research, and Swedish Cancer Society. We thank Bo Nilsson for assistance with statistical analysis, Göran Lundell for computer assistance, Inger Öst and Toom Singnomklao for data management, and Lena Kanter-Lewensohn for discussions about immunohistochemical analyses.
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Copyright © 2002 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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