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Journal of Clinical Oncology, Vol 24, No 31 (November 1), 2006: pp. 5043-5051
© 2006 American Society of Clinical Oncology.
DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2006.06.7330

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Meta-Analysis and Meta-Review of Thyroid Cancer Gene Expression Profiling Studies Identifies Important Diagnostic Biomarkers

Obi L. Griffith, Adrienne Melck, Steven J.M. Jones, Sam M. Wiseman

From the Michael Smith Genome Sciences Centre, British Columbia Cancer Agency; Departments of Medical Genetics and Surgery, University of British Columbia; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Center, Prostate Research Center of Vancouver General Hospital & British Columbia Cancer Agency; Department of Surgery, St Paul's Hospital, Vancouver, Canada

Address reprint requests to Sam M. Wiseman, MD, FRCSC, FACS, St Paul's Hospital, Room C302 Burrard Bldg, 1081 Burrard Street, Vancouver, BC, V6Z1Y6, Canada; smwiseman{at}providencehealth.bc.ca


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
Purpose: An estimated 4% to 7% of the population will develop a clinically significant thyroid nodule during their lifetime. In many cases, preoperative diagnoses by needle biopsy are inconclusive. Thus, there is a clear need for improved diagnostic tests to distinguish malignant from benign thyroid tumors. The recent development of high-throughput molecular analytic techniques should allow the rapid evaluation of new diagnostic markers. However, researchers are faced with an overwhelming number of potential markers from numerous thyroid cancer expression profiling studies.

Materials and Methods: To address this challenge, we have carried out a comprehensive meta-review of thyroid cancer biomarkers from 21 published studies. A gene ranking system that considers the number of comparisons in agreement, total number of samples, average fold-change and direction of change was devised.

Results: We have observed that genes are consistently reported by multiple studies at a highly significant rate (P < .05). Comparison with a meta-analysis of studies reprocessed from raw data showed strong concordance with our method.

Conclusion: Our approach represents a useful method for identifying consistent gene expression markers when raw data are unavailable. A review of the top 12 candidates revealed well known thyroid cancer markers such as MET, TFF3, SERPINA1, TIMP1, FN1, and TPO as well as relatively novel or uncharacterized genes such as TGFA, QPCT, CRABP1, FCGBP, EPS8 and PROS1. These candidates should help to develop a panel of markers with sufficient sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of thyroid tumors in a clinical setting.


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
Thyroid nodules are extremely common, being palpable in 4% to 7% of the North American adult population, with new nodules detected at a yearly rate of 0.1%.1,2 Currently, fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) represents the most important initial test for diagnosing malignancy. The result of the FNAB cytology can be classified as benign (70% of cases), malignant (5% to 10%), indeterminate or suspicious (10% to 20%), or nondiagnostic (10% to 15%).3-5 Although nondiagnostic FNABs can be repeated, the indeterminate or suspicious group presents a dilemma for the clinician. In a recent report from our center on 80 patients who underwent thyroid resection for an indeterminate FNAB diagnosis of follicular neoplasm (FN), only 20% were confirmed as malignant.6 Thus, many patients undergo thyroid surgery for nodular disease that is eventually diagnosed as benign disease.

Given the diagnostic limitations of FNAB when applied to thyroid tumors, multiple investigators have carried out expression profiling studies with hopes of identifying new diagnostic tools. Such analyses attempt to identify differentially expressed genes with an important role in disease development or progression using large-scale transcript-level expression profiling technologies such as cDNA microarrays,7 oligonucleotide arrays8 and Serial Analysis of Gene Expression (SAGE).9 Typically, dozens or hundreds of genes are identified, many of which are expected to be false positives, and only a small fraction useful as diagnostic/prognostic markers or therapeutic targets.

A logical approach to distinguishing important genes from spurious genes, given a large number of candidate gene lists, is to search for the intersection of genes identified in multiple independent studies.10 It is expected that biologically relevant genes will be over-represented and system-specific spurious genes under-represented. As large numbers of cancer profiling studies have become available, the identification of such intersections has become increasingly popular10-12 but none have investigated thyroid cancer specifically. Such studies, although conceptually simple, face a number of technical challenges such as inconsistent gene identifiers, inaccessible data, and uncertain significance of results. Here, we attempt to overcome these challenges.

Our approach involves a vote-counting strategy based on the number of studies reporting a gene as differentially expressed and further ranking based on total sample size and average fold-change. Similar strategies have been used to show that gene pairs consistently coexpressed in multiple platforms13 or data sets14 are more likely to share a common biologic process. Our objective was to use validation from multiple expression profiling data sets to identify high-confidence, differentially expressed genes as potential biomarkers for thyroid cancer. We present a novel meta-review method for ranking genes on the basis of published evidence, successfully validate our method against a more traditional meta-analysis approach, and provide a large number of highly significant multistudy genes. Such markers should prove a useful resource for further study by high-throughput molecular analytic techniques.


    MATERIALS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
Data Collection and Curation
Published lists of differentially expressed genes were processed to obtain the following information (wherever possible): unique identifier (probe/tag/accession); gene name/description; gene symbol; comparison conditions; sample numbers for each condition; fold-change; direction of change; and PubMed ID. All abbreviations used for sample descriptions are defined in Table 1.


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Table 1. List of Abbreviations for Thyroid Samples

 
Gene Mapping
The National Center for Biotechnology Information's Entrez gene identifier was chosen as the common target identifier for the overlap analysis. SAGE tags were mapped to transcripts by the first position (3'-most NlaIII anchoring enzyme recognition site), sense-strand tag predicted from Refseq15 or MGC16 sequences and then mapped to Entrez using the DiscoverySpace software package (Varhol et al, unpublished data; http://www.bcgsc.ca/discoveryspace/). Affymetrix probes were mapped using Affymetrix annotation files (Santa Clara, CA). Clone accession ids were mapped using the DAVID Resource (http://david.abcc.ncifcrf.gov/).17 If no tag, probe, or accession ID was available, the entry was mapped using gene symbol or gene synonyms.

Ranking
Each published study consists of one or more comparisons between a pair of conditions (eg, papillary thyroid carcinoma [PTC] v normal) resulting in a list of differentially expressed genes. A method of ranking potential molecular markers was devised for each comparison group. A comparison group refers to a list of comparisons that address a common question of interest. For example, to identify markers that consistently distinguish cancer from noncancer (normal or benign) we would analyze all the comparisons that contrast cancer samples (eg, PTC, follicular thyroid carcinoma [FTC], anaplastic thyroid cancer [ATC], etc) against noncancer samples (eg, normal, goiter [GT], follicular adenoma [FA], etc).

Genes were ranked according to several criteria in the following order of importance: (1) number of comparisons in agreement (ie, listing the same gene as differentially expressed and with a consistent direction of change); (2) total number of samples for comparisons in agreement; and (3) average fold-change reported for comparisons in agreement. Total sample size was considered more important than average fold-change because many studies do not report a fold-change. Therefore, average fold-change was based solely on the subset of studies for which a fold-change value was available.

Assessment of Significance
Significance of the observed level of overlap between studies for each comparison subset was assessed by Monte Carlo simulation using custom Perl scripts. Where possible, the actual gene lists produced by mapping each expression technology to Entrez gene ID were utilized. For studies with custom arrays,18-21 the appropriate number of genes was chosen from the combined gene list of all other platforms. For SAGE, three thyroid libraries (normal, benign, and carcinoma) from the Cancer Genome Anatomy Project22 were used to create a realistic total tag set and then mapped to Entrez as noted herein. Once total gene lists were created for each platform type, we randomly created gene subsets of the same size observed in our review of the literature. For example, in the cancer-versus-noncancer analysis, one comparison (PTC v normal) identified 24 up- and 27 downregulated genes with the Affymetrix HG-U95A platform.23 In our simulation, we would randomly select and label 24 "up" and 27 "down" genes from the Affymetrix HG-U95A total gene list. A similar random selection was performed for all other comparisons in the cancer-versus-noncancer subset using the appropriate total gene lists. Finally, the amount of overlap between comparisons was tallied as in the real analysis. This entire process was repeated 10,000 times to produce a distribution of overlap results from the random simulations. A P value was then estimated by comparing the actual overlap result to the distribution. A result was considered significant at P < .05.

Meta-Analysis of Affymetrix Data
The method presented in the preceding section makes use of reported lists of differentially expressed genes from published literature. An obvious disadvantage of this approach is that each publication may make use of different methods to ascertain differential expression (eg, scaling, filtering, normalization, significance thresholds, P value estimation, multiple testing corrections, etc). Collecting and reanalyzing 21 sets of raw data from 10 different platforms in a consistent manner would be an immense task and most likely impossible, because many raw data sets are unavailable. However, to assess our method, we did reanalyze a subset of data from raw image files using a standard methodology. Five Affymetrix comparisons (three PTC v normal; one FTC v normal; and one FTC v FA) were reprocessed using the DChip software, analyzed for overlapping genes as above, and the results compared to the cancer-versus-noncancer comparison analysis for concordance using the LOLA tool.11

Additional information on methods appears in the Appendix (online only).


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
A total of 34 comparisons were available from 21 studies, utilizing 10 different expression platforms (Table 2). Of the 1,785 genes reported as differentially expressed in these studies (827 up- and 958 downregulated), 1,562 could be mapped to an Entrez gene identifier (723 up- and 839 downregulated). In all overlap analysis groups considered except for one, we identified genes that were reported in multiple studies with a level of overlap found to be significant by Monte Carlo simulation (P < .05; Table 3). The cancer-versus-noncancer group is provided as an example. In this case, a total of 755 genes were reported from 21 comparisons, and of these, 107 genes were reported more than once with consistent fold-change direction (Fig 1). In some cases (MET, TFF3, and SERPINA1), genes were independently reported as many as six times with a consistent fold-change direction. Only 18 genes were found to be reported in multiple studies with inconsistent fold-change. This in itself is an encouraging result. Given that approximately equal numbers of genes were reported as up- versus downregulated (723 up, 839 down) we might expect that multistudy genes with inconsistent fold-change direction would be as common as (or more common than) genes with consistent direction (under random expectation). Instead, we see that in most cases (85.6%), studies that report the same gene agree on the direction, even for large numbers of studies.


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Table 2. Thyroid Cancer Profiling Studies Included in Analysis

 

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Table 3. Comparison Groups Analyzed for Overlap

 

Figure 1
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Fig 1. Overlap analysis results for cancer-versus-noncancer group compared with random simulation. Values shown for random permutations are mean values for all permutations in the Monte Carlo simulation. Error bars were not included because SE or 95% CIs were too small to visualize.

 
The total amount of overlap observed was assessed by Monte Carlo simulation and found to be highly significant (P < .0001; 10,000 permutations). In the simulation, an average of 18.2 (95% CI, 18.12 to 18.28) genes were observed with an overlap of two (same gene identified in two comparisons) compared with 68 in the actual data. For overlap of three, only 0.3 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.31) genes were observed on average compared with 27 for real data. In 10,000 permutations, the simulated data never produced an overlap greater than three, whereas real data identified 12 genes with overlap of four, five, or six. The probability of observing one or more genes with an overlap of two or more was P = .99. For overlap of three or more P = .037, and for four or more P < .0001. The total number of genes with overlap of two was still highly significant, but we expect at least some false positives to occur by chance. Therefore, we have provided only those genes (top 39) with overlap of three or more and consider those with four or more to be the most reliable (Table 4).


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Table 4. Cancer Versus Noncancer (normal/benign) Overlap Analysis Results

 
If the cancer-versus-noncancer group is broken into two categories, cancer versus normal and cancer versus benign, we find that most of the top genes were found in both types of comparisons. A small number of genes were found in only one of the two categories.

A comparison of genes with multistudy evidence based on published lists versus the smaller subset reanalyzed from raw Affymetrix microarray data showed a highly significant level of agreement (P < .0001). The 107 cancer-versus-noncancer multistudy genes showed a concordance of 0.177 (95% CI, 0.129 to 0.225) with the 179 multistudy genes identified from the reanalyzed Affymetrix subset (Fig 2). In total, there were 43 genes identified by both methods. Given that the two lists of genes were produced by very different subsets of data, in addition to the potential differences in processing, this was an encouraging result. However, it does appear that reprocessing the microarray data in a consistent manner would certainly alter the results and would likely increase the total number of multistudy genes.


Figure 2
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Fig 2. A comparison of cancer-versus-noncancer genes identified with multistudy evidence based on all published lists (our meta-review method) versus genes identified by a smaller subset of studies reanalyzed from raw microarray data. Affy, Affymetrix, Santa Clara, CA.

 
Additional information on results appears in the Appendix (online only).


    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
A common criticism of expression profiling studies is a lack of agreement between studies. However, by applying our meta-review method to a large number of published studies, we observe that many genes are consistently reported at a highly significant rate. These genes may represent real biologic effects that, through repeated efforts, have overcome the issues of noise and error typically associated with such experiments. A comparison of our meta-review method (using published gene lists) to a meta-analysis of a smaller subset of studies (for which raw data were available) showed a strong level of concordance. Thus, we believe our approach represents a useful alternative for identifying consistent gene expression markers when raw data are unavailable (as is generally the case). However, a limitation of our method resulting from unavailability of raw data is that we are unable to assign a measure of confidence at the gene level. We can identify consistently reported genes and rank them according to simple criteria such as total sample size and average fold-change, but we can not calculate a true combined fold-change or P value. In order for more powerful meta-analysis methods to be applied researchers must provide access to their raw data. Also, we remind the reader that although we have focused on the cancer-versus-noncancer comparisons, a large number of other comparison groups were analyzed (Table 3).

As a means of further assessing our results, we review the top 12 cancer-versus-noncancer candidates to identify which markers have been previously confirmed as differentially expressed or having diagnostic/prognostic utility in thyroid cancer (Table 5). In total, 10 of 12 markers have been confirmed at the RNA level and six of these have gone on to be validated at the protein level. For discussion purposes we have broken the genes into two categories, well-characterized and novel or uncharacterized. We also compare our results to a previous review of promising thyroid biomarkers.


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Table 5. Summary of Experimental Validation for Top 12 Markers

 
We defined well-characterized genes as those that have been validated in more than one follow-up study and at both the RNA and protein level, such as MET, TFF3, SERPINA1, TIMP1, FN1, and TPO. Several studies have implicated MET protein expression in thyroid cancer as both a diagnostic tool24-28 and prognostic tool.24,26-28 Increased MET expression has been associated with higher risk for metastasis26 and recurrence in PTC26,27 and negative prognosis in FTC.28 However, in another study, decreased MET was shown to be an effective predictor of distant metastases among PTC cases.24 Although no reports have evaluated TFF3 at the protein level, numerous studies have suggested TFF3 as a useful biomarker at the RNA level.23,29-33 A two-gene panel of SFTPB and TFF3 was shown to correctly diagnose PTC with a sensitivity of 88.9%, specificity of 96.7%, and accuracy of 94.9%30 and TFF3/LGALS3 mRNA ratio was shown to distinguish FA from FTC with sensitivity and specificity of 80.0% and 91.5% respectively.33 An antibody study of SERPINA1 reported immunoreactivity in nine of 10 PTCs with no staining in the adjacent normal thyroid tissues.34 TIMP1 upregulation was confirmed by immunohistochemistry (IHC) with positive immunostaining in 68% of PTC cases and none of the normal cases.35 Another IHC study of TIMP1 for 86 PTC specimens showed increased immunoreactivity in the tumor regions versus nontumor regions in 92% cases and significant correlations with unfavorable prognostic variables.36 FN1 has been proposed as a useful reverse transcriptase (RT-) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) marker of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC)37 and an important modulator of thyroid cell adhesiveness and neoplastic cell growth.38 An IHC study of 85 FTCs and 21 FAs reported that coexpression of FN1 and GAL3 or FN1 and HBME1 was restricted to cancer, although their concurrent absence was highly specific for benign lesions (96%).39 A large number of studies have investigated TPO as a marker for thyroid carcinoma. Lazar et al40 found that higher thyroid cancer stage was associated with lower TPO mRNA expression. Segev et al41 reviewed five IHC studies involving nearly 400 follicular lesions and found that 93% of FAs and 97% of FTCs were accurately diagnosed by TPO antibody staining. Studies using FNAB samples, however, have proved less promising with false-positive rates as high as 32%.41 For the most part, the six genes reviewed above appear promising as thyroid cancer candidates and suggest our meta-analysis method is producing reasonable results.

For four genes (TGFA, QPCT, CRABP1, and FCGBP) we could find only a single follow-up study or validation experiment confirming their potential importance in thyroid cancer. Bergstrom et al42 suggest that increased expression of TGFA may be responsible for aberrant activation of epidermal growth factor receptor and ultimately an overexpression and activation of MET. Jarzab et al43 built a classifier capable of discriminating between PTC and nonmalignant samples in 90% of cases. This classifier included QPCT (along with 18 other genes). QPCT was considered a novel gene and was validated by quantitative PCR in that study, but has been studied little further since. CRABP1 downregulation was confirmed by RT-PCR (in one of the original microarray studies),31 and another study reported that hypermethylation of promoter CpG islands for CRABP1 in PTC may explain the reduced expression.44 Differential expression of FCGBP was confirmed in a separate study by restriction-mediated differential display and real-time RT-PCR.45

For two genes (EPS8 and PROS1) we could find no confirmation beyond the initial microarray experiment. In our meta-analysis, five studies identified EPS823,43,46-48 and four identified PROS123,46,48,49 as upregulated in comparisons of cancer with noncancer. And yet, to our knowledge, no follow-up study has confirmed either of these genes (even at the RNA level). It is unclear whether genes such as EPS8 and PROS1 have not been further validated because they are false positives or simply because they have not yet been chosen for further study. These genes and the other less characterized candidates may represent novel diagnostic markers for thyroid cancer and warrant further investigation.

Comparison to a previous meta-review by Segev et al41 of mainly single-gene, protein-level thyroid cancer studies found that four of their 12 markers identified as promising preoperative diagnostic markers were identified as high-ranking candidates (top 30) in our meta-analysis (TPO, CD44, KRT19, and LGALS3). Two of their candidates were either not represented (HBME-1) or can not be reliably assayed by the microarray platforms (RET/PTC rearrangements). However, six other promising markers (CDKN1B, TERT, CP/LTF, DLGAP4, HMGA1, and PAX8) do have representation on at least some of the expression platforms, and yet were not identified as differentially expressed in even a single study in our meta-analysis. These genes may have displayed some differential expression but not reached the required thresholds for inclusion in the published lists. Or, they may represent cases in which changes in RNA levels do not correlate well with changes in protein levels. Segev et al41 concluded that large-scale thyroid tumor expression profiling of multiple markers on tumors from large and diverse patient cohorts are still required to identify a panel of markers with sufficient sensitivity and specificity to accurately diagnose indeterminate thyroid lesions. We agree and believe that our meta-review of thyroid cancer gene expression profiling studies provides a high-quality list of candidates from which to identify such a panel.


    Appendix
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
Materials and Methods
Data collection and curation. Lists of differentially expressed genes were collected and curated from publications, supplementary Web pages, or files provided by authors. The following information was recorded wherever possible: Unique identifier (probe/tag/accession); gene name/description; gene symbol; comparison conditions; sample numbers for each condition; fold-change; direction of change; and PubMed ID. For consistency, all fold-change values were converted to whole-number fold-changes with ± sign indicating direction of change. For example a 0.5 fold-change for cond1/cond2 was converted to –2.0. If signal log ratio (SLR) was provided, this was also converted (2SLR = fold-change). Individual data tables were stored in separate files and then combined into a single master file. In one study, Giordano et al (Oncogene 24:6646-6656, 2005) were interested in identifying expression profiles that correlated with specific mutational status (eg, BRAF V600E point mutation, RET/PTC rearrangement, and so on). The comparisons conducted were unique to this study and not applicable for our overlap analysis. Therefore we reanalyzed their data using the log-normalized data file to calculate differentially expressed genes between cancer (PTC) and noncancer (normal) samples. A total of 90 upregulated and 151 downregulated genes were chosen with a fold-change of greater than 2.0 and Bonferroni corrected P value (t test, two-sided) of less than .001.

Gene mapping. To determine the amount of overlap between the various published studies, it was first critical to obtain common, consistent gene identifiers. Entrez gene identifier from NCBI was chosen as the target identifier. SAGE tags were mapped to genes by the first position (3'-most NlaIII anchoring enzyme recognition site), sense-strand tag predicted from Refseq (Pruitt KD, Katz KS, Sicotte H, et al. Trends Genet 16:44-47, 2000) or MGC (Mammalian Gene Collection Program Team, Strausberg RL, Feingold EA, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 99:16899-16903, 2002) sequences and then mapped to Entrez using the DiscoverySpace software package (Varhol et al, unpublished data, http://www.bcgsc.ca/discoveryspace/). Only unambiguous mappings were allowed. Affymetrix probes were mapped to Entrez gene ids using the Affymetrix annotation files (Santa Clara, CA). Clone accession IDs were mapped to Entrez gene ids using the DAVID Resource (http://david.abcc.ncifcrf.gov/; Dennis G Jr, Sherman BT, Hosack DA, et al. Genome Biol 4:P3, 2003). If no tag, probe, or accession ID was available, the entry was mapped from gene symbol directly to Entrez or indirectly using gene synonyms. In 43 cases, Entrez gene IDs were manually determined on the basis of gene description. Any genes still not mapped were assigned an Entrez ID of "NA." Gene history was checked to identify Entrez IDs that have been retired or replaced. If retired, Entrez ID was changed to NA. If replaced, the new replacement Entrez ID was used.

Ranking. Each published study consists of one or more comparisons between pairs of conditions (eg, PTC v normal). A method of ranking potential molecular markers was devised for each comparison subset of interest. A comparison subset refers to a list of comparisons for which the two conditions address a question of interest. For example, to identify markers that have consistently been shown to distinguish cancer samples from noncancer samples (normal or benign) we would first define two condition categories. The cancer category would include samples labeled as PTC, FTC, ATC, and so on. The noncancer category would include samples labeled as normal, GT, FA, and so on. From these categories, we identify all studies/comparisons that contrasted samples from the cancer category against the noncancer. Each study/comparison yields a list of genes found to have been differentially expressed between the conditions. It should be noted that two studies by Finley et al (Finley DJ, Arora N, Zhu B, et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 89:3214-3223, 2004; and Finley DJ, Zhu B, Barden CB, et al. Ann Surg 240:425-437, 2004) appear to have a high amount of redundancy between the actual samples analyzed for gene expression. Therefore, to prevent artificially high overlap between these data sets, only one or the other was included in each comparison group (depending on the nature of the comparison).

Genes are ranked according to several criteria in the following order of importance: (1) number of comparisons in agreement (ie, listing the same gene as differentially expressed and with a consistent direction of change); (2) total number of samples for comparisons in agreement; and (3) average fold-change reported for comparisons in agreement. Our primary ranking criteria is thus simply the number of independent studies that have identified the same gene as a potential marker of some condition. Sample sizes and fold-changes are used to further rank genes with evidence from equal numbers of studies/comparisons. Total sample size was considered more important than average fold-change because many studies do not report a fold-change. The average fold-change was based solely on those studies for which a fold-change value was provided in the original publication. Also, it should be noted that the average fold-change is based on all reported fold-changes irrespective of the method used to calculate them (normalization, logging, etc). In most cases fold-changes are calculated as a ratio of mean expression in one condition versus another. But, in other cases where matched normal and tumor patient samples were available it could represent the median fold-change observed for all individual tumor/normal ratios (Jarzab B, Wiench M, Fujarewicz K, et al. Cancer Res 65:1587-1597, 2005). Despite this caveat, we believe that the average and range of reported fold-changes gives a good idea of the relative magnitude of differential expression for each gene of interest.

Assessment of significance. Significance of the observed level of overlap between studies for a comparison subset was assessed by Monte Carlo simulation. Where possible, the actual gene lists produced by mapping each expression technology to Entrez gene ID were utilized. For studies with custom arrays (Arnaldi LA, Borra RC, Maciel RM, et al. Thyroid 15:210-221, 2005; Chevillard S, Ugolin N, Vielh P, et al. Clin Cancer Res 10:6586-6597, 2004; Onda M, Emi M, Yoshida A, et al. Endocr Relat Cancer 11:843-854, 2004; and Yano Y, Uematsu N, Yashiro T, et al. Clin Cancer Res 10:2035-2043, 2004), a comparable number of genes was chosen from the combined gene list of all other platforms. Because the custom arrays may in reality have features/genes unique to the array; this simplifying step may actually increase the chance of observing overlap in the random simulations. Thus, the final P value is likely an overestimate. For most platforms, mapping of features to genes was not perfect. On average, 91.4% of features were successfully mapped to a gene identifier. Thus, for the custom arrays, we randomly chose this same fraction of genes. For SAGE, three thyroid libraries from the Cancer Genome Anatomy Project (normal: SAGE_Thyroid_normal_B_001, benign: SAGE_Thyroid_follicular_adenoma_B_TT005, carcinoma: SAGE_Thyroid_follicular_carcinoma_B_TT004) were used to create a realistic total tag set and then mapped to Entrez as above. Once total gene lists were created for each platform type, we randomly chose gene sets of the same size observed in our review of the literature. For example, if a study/comparison reported 17 upregulated and 40 downregulated genes we would randomly choose 17 and 40 genes and label them "up" and "down," respectively. The random selection was repeated for all comparisons in the comparison subset. Finally, the amount of overlap between comparisons was tallied and the result compared to that actually observed. This random permutation process was repeated 10,000 times, and an estimate of significance determined.

Meta-analysis of Affymetrix data. The method presented in the preceding paragraphs makes use of reported lists of differentially expressed genes from published literature. An obvious disadvantage of this approach is that each publication may make use of different methods to ascertain differential expression (eg, scaling, filtering, normalization, significance thresholds, P value estimation, multiple testing corrections, etc). Collecting and reanalyzing 21 sets of raw data from 10 different platforms in a consistent manner would be an immense task and most likely impossible, because many raw data sets are unavailable. The majority of data have not been placed in public databases. However, to assess our method, we did reanalyze a subset of data from raw image files using a standard methodology and compared with our results. The Affymetrix platforms were chosen for their ease of analysis and because they were most represented in the published studies (nine studies). Two of the data sets were freely available on the Internet (Giordano TJ, Kuick R, Thomas DG, et al. Oncogene 24:6646-6656, 2005; and Huang Y, Prasad M, Lemon WJ, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 98:15044-15049, 2001), and the other seven were requested by e-mail. Ultimately, we were able to obtain only four data sets (two requests were successful) representing five comparisons with a total of 117 samples (65 PTC, 15 FTC, 25 normal, and 12 FA; Giordano et al; Huang et al; Aldred MA, Huang Y, Liyanarachchi S, et al. J Clin Oncol 22:3531-3359, 2004; and Weber F, Shen L, Aldred MA, et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2005).

Cel files were loaded and analyzed with the DChip software. Arrays were normalized and modeled using default settings. Probes were filtered based on variation (0.50 < standard deviation/mean < 1000.00) and P call across samples (≥ 20% of arrays). Probes were determined to be differentially expressed if they demonstrated fold-change greater than 2 and P value less than .05 (after false-discovery rate [FDR] –based multiple testing correction). Finally, the five comparisons (three PTC v normal; one FTC versus normal; and one FTC v FA) were analyzed for overlapping genes as herein and the results compared to the cancer-versus-noncancer comparison analysis for concordance using the LOLA tool (Cahan P, Ahmad AM, Burke H, et al. Gene 360:78-82, 2005).

Gene Ontology analysis. A Gene Ontology (Ashburner M, Ball CA, Blake JA, et al. Nat Genet 25:25-29, 2000) analysis was performed for the genes with multistudy confirmation in the cancer-versus-noncancer overlap analysis group using the BiNGO (Maere S, Heymans K, Kuiper M. Bioinformatics 21:3448-3349, 2005) plug-in for the Cytoscape (Shannon P, Markiel A, Ozier O, et al. Genome Res 13:2498-2504, 2003) software package. Significance was calculated using the hypergeometric test, corrected with a Benjamini & Hochberg FDR correction, and a cutoff of 0.05 applied to the result.

Results
Cancer-versus-noncancer breakdown. If the cancer-versus-noncancer group is broken into two categories, cancer versus normal and cancer versus benign, we see that most of the top genes were found in both types of comparisons. A small number of genes were found in only one of the two categories. In all, 58.9% (63 of 107) of the multistudy genes (two or more overlapping studies) were found in both a cancer versus normal and cancer versus benign comparison (Fig A1).

Gene Ontology analysis. A gene ontology analysis of multistudy genes from the cancer-versus-noncancer overlap analysis group identified 12 significant terms (Table A1). Genes tended to be localized in the extracellular region and, more specifically, the extracellular matrix. Significant biologic processes involved hormone metabolism and generation. Significant molecular functions involved binding (cadmium, selenium, and copper), mitogen-activated protein kinase phosphatase activity, and retinoic acid receptor activity.

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Table A1. Gene Ontology Analysis of Multistudy Genes From the Cancer-Versus-Noncancer Overlap Analysis Group

 
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Figure 3
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Fig A1. Overlap between cancer/normal and cancer/benign comparison groups. Of the 478 genes in the cancer/normal comparison group and 332 genes of the cancer/benign group, a total of 63 genes were found in both. In all, 58.9% (63 of 107) of the multistudy genes (two or more overlapping studies) were found in both a cancer-versus-normal and cancer-versus-benign comparison. For genes found in three or more studies, 79.5% (31 of 39) were reported for both types of comparisons. *, {dagger}, and {ddagger} were used to identify which part of the Venn diagram each gene in Table 4 corresponds to.

 

    Authors' Disclosures of Potential Conflicts of Interest
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
The authors indicated no potential conflicts of interest.


    Author Contributions
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 

Conception and design: Obi L. Griffith, Steven J.M. Jones, Sam M. Wiseman

Financial support: Steven J.M. Jones, Sam M. Wiseman

Collection and assembly of data: Obi L. Griffith, Sam M. Wiseman

Data analysis and interpretation: Obi L. Griffith, Adrienne Melck

Manuscript writing: Obi L. Griffith, Adrienne Melck, Sam M. Wiseman

Final approval of manuscript: Obi L. Griffith, Adrienne Melck, Steven J.M. Jones, Sam M. Wiseman

 


    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
 
We would like to acknowledge the generosity of the researchers who shared their data with us through personal communications including, Frank Weber, Carrie Ris-Stalpers, Charis Eng, Sandya Liyanarachchi, and Twyla Pohar.


    NOTES
 
Supported by the BC Cancer Foundation. Canadian Institutes of Health Research (O.L.G), the Natural Sciences and Engineering Council of Canada, and the Michael Smith Foundation for Health Research (S.J.M.J. and S.M.W.).

Authors' disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 Appendix
 Authors' Disclosures of...
 Author Contributions
 REFERENCES
 
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Submitted March 27, 2006; accepted August 30, 2006.




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