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Originally published as JCO Early Release 10.1200/JCO.2006.09.3260 on May 7 2007 © 2007 American Society of Clinical Oncology. Risk and Clinical Implications of Transformation of Follicular Lymphoma to Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma
From the Cancer Research UK Medical Oncology Unit, Barts and the London, Queen Mary's School of Medicine and Dentistry; Departments of Cellular Pathology, Haematology, and Radiology, Barts and the London NHS Trust, London; and the Cancer Research UK Medical Statistics Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom Address reprint requests to Silvia Montoto, MD, Institute of Cancer, Centre for Medical Oncology, St Bartholomew's Hospital, 45 Little Britain, London EC1A 7BE, United Kingdom; e-mail: silvia.montoto{at}cancer.org.uk
Purpose To study the clinical significance of transformation to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in patients with follicular lymphoma (FL). Patients and Methods From 1972 to 1999, 325 patients were diagnosed with FL at St Bartholomew's Hospital (London, United Kingdom). With a median follow-up of 15 years, progression occurred in 186 patients and biopsy-proven transformation in 88 of the 325. The overall repeat biopsy rate was 70%. Results The risk of histologic transformation (HT) by 10 years was 28%, HT not yet having been observed after 16.2 years. The risk was higher in patients with advanced stage (P = .02), high-risk Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI; P = .01), and International Prognostic Index (IPI; P = .04) scores at diagnosis. Expectant management (as opposed to treatment being initiated at diagnosis) also predicted for a higher risk of HT (P = .008). Older age (P = .005), low hemoglobin level (P = .03), high lactate dehydrogenase (P < .0001), and high-risk FLIPI (P = .01) or IPI (P = .003) score at the time of first recurrence were associated with the diagnosis of HT in a biopsy performed at that time. The median survival from transformation was 1.2 years. Patients with HT had a shorter overall survival (P < .0001) and a shorter survival from progression (P < .0001) than did those in whom it was not diagnosed. Conclusion Advanced stage and high-risk FLIPI and IPI scores at diagnosis correlate with an increased risk of HT. This event strongly influences the outcome of patients with FL by shortening their survival. There may be a subgroup of patients in whom HT does not occur.
The clinical course of follicular lymphoma (FL) is characteristically that of a progressing and regressing disease, apart from a group of patients with very early-stage disease treated with irradiation and even fewer who may be cured with allogeneic transplant. Responsiveness to therapy and duration of response both decline with repeated treatments, particularly after documented transformation, with death generally resulting from the disease.1,2 The reported incidence of histologic transformation (HT) ranges from 16% to 60% depending on length of follow-up and rebiopsy/autopsy policy.1,3-5 Also critical is the definition of transformation, which, in addition to being diagnosed on cytology alone or clinical data,6-8 has in the past included progression (grade 1/2 to grade 3 FL) or development of a diffuse pattern, with persistence of follicular morphology. All of these have sometimes been combined with frank transformation to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) or, rarely, Burkitt's lymphoma. The purpose of this study was to document the frequency of HT to DLBCL and presenting features, both at diagnosis and at progression, which predict for it, in a large series of patients with FL and a high repeat biopsy rate at progression, using a strict definition of HT, always based on a biopsy and restricted to patients with a biopsy demonstrating features diagnostic of DLBCL.
Patient Population From January 1972 to December 1999, 325 patients with FL were treated at St Bartholomew's Hospital (London, United Kingdom; Table 1). Duration of symptoms and date of diagnosis was known in all cases. Histologic diagnosis was reviewed in all cases by A.S.,9 A.N., or M.C. Patients with grade 3b FL or composite lymphoma were excluded. Staging included clinical examination, bone marrow (BM) biopsy, and hilar tomography with lymphangiography until 1976, and, subsequently, computed tomography scanning.2,9 For the purpose of classifying the patients according to the Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI)10 and the International Prognostic Index (IPI),11 hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase (HBD; until 1989) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; since 1989) have been assumed to have equivalent significance.12,13
Initial Management Sixty-two asymptomatic patients (without rapidly growing lymphadenopathy, compression symptoms, or vital organ failure) underwent expectant management, defined as deliberate nonintervention for at least 3 months after diagnosis, and 263 (81%) received treatment immediately. Patients with localized disease were mainly treated with curative intent and received radiotherapy. However, 15 patients with localized disease underwent expectant management. Thirteen (of whom eight have died) of these 62, followed-up for a median time of 7 years, never received any therapy and remained without progression for periods ranging from 4 months to 18 years. First-line therapy for the remaining 312 patients was administered according to protocols used at the time (Table 1).
Management at Recurrence/Progression
Definition of Transformation
Assessment of Response
Definitions An [episode] of disease was defined as recurrence (after CR) or progression (in patients in PR) after achievement of best response irrespective of the number of lines of treatment needed. For the sake of simplicity, [recurrence] is used to encompass both. For a given episode, transformation was considered at the time of recurrence (hereafter, [at recurrence]), at progression after expectant management ([after expectant management]), or at progression in NR patients ([at progression]). Overall survival (OS) was measured from date of diagnosis to date of last follow-up or death.18 Time from first recurrence (in CR patients) or first progression (in PR patients) to death was analyzed as survival from progression, in an attempt to identify prognostic factors that influence outcome at the time of first recurrence/progression. Time to transformation was taken from diagnosis to date of biopsy confirming transformation, with death treated as a censoring event in those in whom HT did not occur. Survival from transformation was the time from transformation to death.
Statistical Analysis
Response to Treatment and Duration of First Response Response after first therapy in 301 assessable patients is detailed in Table 1. The median follow-up was 15 years. One hundred eighty-six patients developed recurrent lymphoma, the median duration of first response being 2.7 years (range, 0.1 to 31 years). Response rates at first, second, third, fourth, and fifth recurrence were 70%, 59%, 63%, 45%, and 50%, respectively.
Overall Survival, Survival From Progression, and Causes of Death
Biopsy Rate
Diagnosis of Transformation The diagnosis of transformation was made in 88 patients at a median of 3 years (range, 0.1 to 16.2 years). Among these 88 patients, 14 transformed before initiation of any therapy (two within 3 months of diagnosis) and 10 during initial therapy. Transformation was documented in 34 (18%) of 186 patients at first recurrence (22 at recurrence, seven after expectant management, and five at progression in NR patients); 16 (16%) of 103 at second recurrence; eight (14%) of 59 at third recurrence; five (14%) of 35 at fourth recurrence; and in one case at a subsequent recurrence. Patients characteristics at the time of transformation are shown in Table 1.
Risk of Transformation
Patients undergoing expectant management at diagnosis had a higher risk of transformation than did those treated immediately (P = .008; Table 3). Advanced stage (III to IV) at diagnosis was associated with a higher risk of transformation (P = .02). Both the FLIPI (P = .01) and the IPI (P = .04) scores at diagnosis predicted for the risk of HT(Table 3). The log-rank test showed a trend for a higher risk of transformation in patients with a high LDH/HBD level at diagnosis (5-year risk, 28% 17%; P = .08) and for those with grade 3a FL (38% at 5 years 20% for grade 1 and 10% for grade 2; P = .09). Because of missing data, no satisfactory multivariate model could be fitted using individual risk factors for the indexes.
Clinical characteristics of the patients having a biopsy at the time of first recurrence were analyzed in an attempt to predict the probability of HT at that time. Patients who had already had an episode of transformation (while being treated with expectant management or progressing during first-line treatment) were excluded from the analysis. Older age (P = .005), low hemoglobin level (P = .03), high LDH/HBD (P < .0001), and high-risk FLIPI (P = .01) or IPI (P = .003), all at the time of first recurrence, were associated with a higher probability of the biopsy showing transformation at that time point (Table 2). Twenty-two percent of patients with HT had a poor performance status at the time of first recurrence, compared with 10% of patients with persistence of FL, although this difference was not statistically significant (Table 2).
Outcome for Patients With HT The median survival from transformation was 1.2 years (range, 0.1 to 25 years; Fig 2). Table 3 shows the variables that were predictive for shorter survival from transformation. Patients in CR after salvage therapy had a longer survival than did the remainder (median, 5.6 v 1 and 0.4 years for patients in PR and NR, respectively). Given the number of patients with missing data (especially regarding LDH/HBD), it was not possible to obtain a reliable multivariate model for survival from transformation.
The OS of patients in whom HT was diagnosed at any point was shorter than that of patients in whom it was not demonstrated, with a median of 6.7 versus 10.3 years. The results of the multivariate analysis for OS are shown in Table 3.
Survival From First Recurrence
Characteristics of 59 Patients With No Transformation After Long Follow-Up
This analysis is based on prospectively collected clinical data and biopsies of patients treated at a single center over more than 25 years with at least 5 years of follow-up of living patients. It provides as accurate as possible a picture of the clinical relevance of the transformation of FL to DLBCL in the era before the impact of antibody therapy could be assessed. Despite the limitations on the interpretation of the data consequent on the modifications of staging criteria over time, and inevitable missing results inherent in a retrospective analysis generated over a quarter of a century, important observations that may help direct further research in the field have been made. The overall frequency and rate of transformation are entirely consistent with the published literature, minor differences almost certainly reflecting differences in biopsy and autopsy policy and the length of follow-up.1,6,8 The intriguing finding that the risk of transformation declines very substantially after 15 years is supported by another study, albeit with shorter follow-up.6 The hypothesis that this reflects the existence of two distinct subtypes of FL is gaining some support from molecular studies,22,23 but more data will be required before the case can be made with confidence. An unexpected finding is the higher risk of transformation in patients treated with expectant management at diagnosis, contrasting with the data from Stanford University.1 This finding, however, should be taken cautiously in that it is counterintuitive and difficult to explain. In the current study, patients not treated at diagnosis did not have prognostic features that might explain their higher risk of transformation, but the missing data precluded a good multivariate model to test for the independency of this variable. However, in the Stanford series, the proportion of patients with progression undergoing repeat biopsy was lower (45%) in patients who had been managed expectantly than those treated ab initio (65%), possibly allowing for underdiagnosis of HT in the former group, which might have accounted for the differences between the two studies. A recent paper suggested a reduced risk of HT for patients treated with an anthracycline-based chemotherapy at diagnosis.24 The small proportion of patients receiving such a first-line treatment in this series prevented the analysis of its impact in the risk of HT. The grave prognostic significance of HT is clear, both from the very poor outlook for the majority of the patients in whom it occurs, and the global comparison of survival of those in whom it was diagnosed with those in whom it did not occur. The latter has been previously reported in some series,5,8 although questioned in others with a shorter follow-up.3,25 These findings and the correlation between the risk of transformation and the IPI and FLIPI scores at diagnosis suggest strongly that both scores are actually predicting for the transformation event, for which treatment is currently most unsatisfactory. The issue of the clinical features that accompany transformation at the time of a particular event was addressed in the current study by analysis of outcome at first recurrence (not possible at later events because of small numbers). Some studies have in the past reported clinical factors2,26-28 that predict for a shorter survival at the time of recurrence, but only two included HT in the analysis, and none demonstrated an impact of HT on survival from progression, possibly because of the small number of patients with HT.2,28 It is clear from the multivariate analysis in the present study, including both histology (transformation or not) and clinical features, particularly performance score and age, that both are independently highly significant. It might therefore be argued that therapeutic decisions based on the clinical situation might obviate the need for a biopsy, undoubtedly good for the patient and for health care economics. However, although there is a close correlation between clinical evidence of a change in pace of the disease and HT, it is not absolute. Thus, the performance score was satisfactory in two thirds of patients and the LDH normal in one third of patients at the time of HT. As therapeutic decisions are based on both clinical and pathologic data, it seems reasonable to conclude that it is advisable to have both. The observations discussed herein and conclusions of their relevance are based on data generated during an era before the finding that chemoimmunotherapy, both at the initial therapy of FL and at first progression has altered progression-free and overall survival.29-31 The results of vaccine therapy are awaited. It remains to be demonstrated whether these new therapeutic interventions will alter the clinical course of the disease by averting the risk of transformation. Time will tell. Meanwhile, it behooves us to gain the maximum information available to manage FL optimally.
The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest.
Conception and design: Silvia Montoto, Andrew John Davies, T. Andrew Lister Provision of study materials or patients: Maria Calaminici, Andrew J. Norton, Sarah Vinnicombe, Ama Z.S. Rohatiner, T. Andrew Lister Collection and assembly of data: Silvia Montoto, Andrew John Davies, Janet Matthews, Maria Calaminici, Andrew J. Norton, Ama Z.S. Rohatiner Data analysis and interpretation: Silvia Montoto, Andrew John Davies, Janet Matthews, Rachel Waters Manuscript writing: Silvia Montoto, Andrew John Davies, Ama Z.S. Rohatiner, T. Andrew Lister Final approval of manuscript: Silvia Montoto, Andrew John Davies, Janet Matthews, Maria Calaminici, Andrew J. Norton, John Amess, Sarah Vinnicombe, Rachel Waters, Ama Z.S. Rohatiner, T. Andrew Lister Other: Maria Calaminici [Histologic diagnosis], Andrew J. Norton [Histologic diagnosis], John Amess [Responsibility for the hematological laboratory support of the patients reported in this study]
We thank the patients and the medical and nursing staff of the Medical Oncology Unit; and J. Connors, MD, for his helpful comments on the manuscript. This work was supported by Cancer Research UK and by the family of Olivia Walduck (S.M.).
published online ahead of print at www.jco.org on May 7, 2007. Presented in part at the 47th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology, Atlanta, GA, December 10-13, 2005. Authors disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.
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Copyright © 2007 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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