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Journal of Clinical Oncology, Vol 25, No 24 (August 20), 2007: pp. 3635-3643 © 2007 American Society of Clinical Oncology. DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2006.09.7451 Noninvasive Evaluation of Late Anthracycline Cardiac Toxicity in Childhood Cancer Survivors
From the Departments of Hematology Oncology, Biostatistics, Radiological Sciences, and Epidemiology and Cancer Control, and the Division of Behavioral Medicine, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, the University of Tennessee, College of Medicine, Memphis, TN; Department of Pediatrics, M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX; Department of Pediatrics and Cardiology, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford; and Department of Surgical Education, Santa Barbara Cottage Hospital, Santa Barbara, CA Address reprint requests to Melissa M. Hudson, MD, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, 332 North Lauderdale, Mailstop 735, Memphis, TN 38105; email: melissa.hudson{at}stjude.org
Purpose Childhood cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines and cardiac radiation are at risk for late-onset cardiotoxicity. The purpose of this study was to delineate the relationship between clinical factors and abnormalities of noninvasive cardiac testing (NICT). Patients and Methods Participants were recruited from a long-term follow-up clinic. Study measures comprised physical examination, laboratory evaluation, echocardiogram, and ECG. Mean fractional shortening (FS) and afterload were compared for survivors who did (at risk [AR]) and did not (no risk [NR]) receive potentially cardiotoxic modalities, and with values expected for comparable age- and sex-matched controls.
Results The 278 study participants (mean age, 18.1 years; median age, 16.8 years; range, 7.5 to 39.7 years) included 223 survivors AR for cardiotoxicity after treatment with anthracyclines (median dose ± standard deviation [SD], 202 ± 109 mg/m2) and/or cardiac radiation. Mean FS (± SD) was lower for AR (0.33 ± 0.06) compared with NR survivors (0.36 ± 0.05; P = .004) and normative controls (0.36 ± 0.04; P < .001). Mean afterload (± SD) was higher for AR (58 ± 21 g/cm2) compared with NR survivors (46 ± 15 g/cm2; P < .001) and normative controls (48 ± 13 g/cm2; P < .001). The distribution of FS and afterload among NR survivors did not differ from that of controls. After adjustment for age group at diagnosis and time since completion of therapy, anthracycline dose predicted decline in distribution of FS (P < .001) and increase in distribution of afterload (P < .001). Treatment with anthracycline doses
Conclusion Childhood cancer survivors treated with anthracycline doses
Despite their well-established risk of cardiotoxicity, anthracyclines remain a critical component of treatment for many pediatric malignancies because of their favorable therapeutic benefit.1 Thus, numerous studies have attempted to characterize the clinical predictors, pathogenesis, and natural history of anthracycline-related cardiotoxicity in childhood cancer patients. However, our understanding of cardiotoxicity from an epidemiologic perspective remains inadequate for the following reasons: investigations vary in methodology and definition of cardiotoxicity; published data regarding risk factors are contradictory; longitudinal data on well-defined cohorts, especially those treated with contemporary regimens restricting anthracyclines, are deficient; and the relationship between abnormalities identified by noninvasive cardiac testing (NICT) and clinical status (both present and future) is unknown. In particular, our understanding of the clinical implications of low-dose anthracycline chemotherapy in contemporary treatment regimens on long-term cardiovascular health is limited.2-8 In an effort to increase this knowledge, we describe the results of a study in long-term childhood cancer survivors returning for annual follow-up with the aim of elucidating the relationship of clinical and treatment factors to the risk of cancer-related cardiotoxicity determined through comprehensive noninvasive evaluation of cardiovascular function.
Patient Eligibility and Recruitment We recruited study participants from long-term childhood cancer survivors in the St Jude Children's Research Hospital (Memphis, TN) After Completion of Therapy Clinic. We targeted enrollment to the following diagnostic groups: acute leukemia, a group receiving low cumulative dosages of anthracycline (100 mg/m2); mediastinal lymphoma, a group with potential cardiovascular injury from anthracyclines and/or thoracic irradiation; sarcoma, a group receiving relatively high cumulative dosages of anthracyclines (300 to 500 mg/m2); and neuroblastoma, a group with cardiac immaturity at anthracycline administration. In addition, a group of survivors (acute lymphoblastic leukemia, Wilms' tumor, and germ cell tumors) not receiving anthracyclines or thoracic irradiation was enrolled as controls. Exclusion criteria included history of congenital heart disease, chronic systemic illness requiring ongoing medical treatment, trisomy 21, and anemia (hematocrit < 28%). Consecutive patients meeting the eligibility criteria were identified and invited to participate. Enrollment was closed for the specific diagnostic groups after reaching the protocol-specified targeted accrual yielding a convenience cohort of study participants. The study was approved by the institutional review boards at St Jude Children's Research Hospital and Stanford University (Stanford, CA). All study participants or their parents provided informed consent.
Clinical Data Collection
Cardiac Evaluation
Statistical Analysis
The formula used to calculate BSA was (W0.425 x H0.725) x 0.007184, where W is weight in kilograms and H is height in centimeters.28 Body mass index (BMI) expressed in kilograms per square meter was used as index of obesity according to the formula (weight/height2). For patients younger than age 20 years, we used an SAS program (version 9; SAS Institute, Cary, NC) to categorize into weight-for-length percentiles or BMI-for-age percentiles based on normative data.29 For patients age
We used linear regression to assess predictive factors for distribution of FS and afterload. Dependent variables included actual measures of FS and afterload, with abnormal FS defined as less than 0.28, abnormal afterload as more than 74 g/cm2, or either abnormal FS or abnormal afterload. A set of categoric and continuous variables believed to influence the dependent variables were included in multiple regression (linear for actual measures of FS and afterload, and logistic for indicator of abnormal FS and afterload models). We conducted univariable analysis on each individual variable; factors emerging as marginally significant (P < .10) were included in the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable regression, interactions with anthracycline dose exposure and significant factors (from univariable analysis) were explored and retained if effects were still significant. The interaction effect in multivariable logistic regression analysis was not explored because of small event numbers. To adjust the effect of age group (age < 5 v
Patient Demographics The 278 patients who agreed to participate in the study represented 22% of the clinic population (n = 1,268); 223 were designated AR and 55 were designated NR based on treatment. Twelve patients declined participation because they were unable to stay for study evaluations. Table 1 summarizes the participants' characteristics. Of 278 cancer survivors who agreed to participate, AR and NR groups did not significantly differ by sex, race/ethnicity, age at cancer diagnosis or age at study evaluation. The time since completion of therapy was significantly longer (P = .003) in survivors in the NR group (median, 11.0 years; range, 4.3 to 21.7 years) compared with those in the AR group (median, 9.0 years; range, 3.0 to 18.0 years). Primary cancer diagnostic groups differed significantly in AR and NR groups, reflecting the use of anthracyclines and thoracic irradiation for specific diagnostic groups. There was also a strong association (P < .001) between disease group and anthracycline dose-intensity (zero, < 50, and 50 mg/m2/wk).
Clinical Cardiovascular Status Two patients had a history of a transient cardiac insufficiency during therapy associated with sepsis that resolved following brief inotropic and pressor therapy. None of the patients had clinical cardiac dysfunction at the time of study evaluation. In several patients, aspects of the noninvasive evaluation were technically unsatisfactory and data were not recorded. This was most commonly the result of an inadequate carotid pulse trace. Technically satisfactory data were available to calculate FS, afterload, and QTc in 272, 238, and 273 patients, respectively. Noninvasive assessment identified subclinical cardiovascular dysfunction with FS less than 0.28 in 37 (13.6%) of 272 patients, afterload more than 74 g/cm2 in 33 (13.8%) of 238 patients, or any abnormality in 57 patients (20.9%). In addition, 11 (4.0%) of 273 patients had a prolonged QTc interval.
Cardiotoxic Cancer Treatment
Cardiac Structure and Function
Clinical Variables Influencing Cardiac Function Effect of Cumulative Anthracycline. To evaluate the influence of anthracycline dose on cardiac outcome, anthracycline exposure for the 217 anthracycline-treated AR survivors was categorized according to total dose with an attempt to form groups of equal size. Table 3 summarizes the analyses comparing the distribution of FS and afterload between normative controls, individual dose groups, and consecutive dose groups after adjusting for age group at diagnosis and time since completion of therapy. Increasing cumulative anthracycline doses above 100 mg/m2 demonstrated a significantly progressive decrease in FS and increase in afterload. This effect first developed at a dose range of 100 to 174 mg/m2, and continued until the maximum dose range (350 to 510 mg/m2). Comparison between serial groups showed a difference between the 100 to 174 mg/m2 group when compared with the 1 to 99 mg/m2 group, with significantly lower FS (P = .002) and higher afterload (P = .011) in the higher dose group. For subsequent serial comparisons, there were no statistically significant interval changes for FS. However, for afterload, there was also a statistically significant difference between the 270 to 349 mg/m2 group and the next lower dose range (200 to 269 mg/m2), with the higher dose associated with higher afterload (P = .016). None of the other serial dose comparisons indicated any difference in afterload between consecutive dose groups. After adjusting for age group at diagnosis and time since completion of the therapy, survivors who received anthracycline doses 270 mg/m2 had a 4.4-fold (95% CI, 1.95 to 10.4) and 4.0-fold (95% CI, 1.7 to 9.4) excess risk of abnormal FS and afterload, respectively, compared with controls; the relative risk of either abnormal FS or afterload was 4.5-fold (95% CI, 2.1 to 9.6). Data in Table 4 summarize the relationship of anthracycline dose in patients with abnormal FS or afterload.
Linear Regression Analyses of Predictors of Distribution of Cardiac Outcomes Results of the univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses performed to evaluate the effect of clinical variables on the distribution of cardiac function measures are summarized in Table 5. Three key demographic variables that were independent predictors of the outcome were included in each regression analysis: sex, age group at diagnosis, and time since completion of therapy. All comparisons were adjusted for age group at treatment and follow-up time. We did not observe a significant interaction between sex and anthracycline dose (P = .21). We also could not demonstrate significant or additive effects of radiation or cyclophosphamide on cardiac toxicity as measured by FS or afterload. Notably, aside from BMI, other modifiable post-treatment cardiovascular disease risk factors and history of endocrinopathy did not influence risk of abnormal FS or afterload. In the multivariable model, increasing anthracycline dose emerged as the only significant predictor of reduced FS (P < .001), and age group at diagnosis was not a significant predictor even though it was significant in the univariable model. Significant predictors of elevated afterload included increasing anthracycline dose (P < .001), age group 5 years (P = .006), and normal BMI (P = .015). Notably, survivors who were older at diagnosis ( 5 years) received significantly higher cumulative anthracycline doses compared with those who were younger (< 5 years) at diagnosis (P < .001).
Logistic Regression Analyses of Predictors of Abnormal Cardiac Outcomes Results of the univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses performed to evaluate predictive factors for abnormal cardiac function are summarized in Table 6. All comparisons were adjusted for age group at treatment and follow-up time. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified increasing anthracycline dose (P = .033) and diagnosis group (P = .051) as the only factors predicting abnormal FS; increasing anthracycline dose (P = .006) and time since therapy (P = .011) predicted abnormal afterload.
We observed significantly lower FS and higher afterload compared with healthy controls in a cohort of asymptomatic long-term childhood cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines. Notable results include the relatively large study cohort comprising individuals treated across a broad spectrum of ages at diagnosis and anthracycline dose levels. The majority (83%) received cumulative anthracycline doses restricted to 300 mg/m2 or less, reflective of contemporary treatment regimens for favorable pediatric malignancies. Cardiotoxic treatment was well characterized by cumulative anthracycline dose, anthracycline dose-intensity, and cardiac dosimetry. As observed in previous studies, increasing anthracycline dose predicted subclinical cardiovascular dysfunction affecting both FS and afterload at levels above 100 mg/m2. Survivors receiving doses 270 mg/m2 had a 4.5-fold excess risk of abnormal FS or afterload (95% CI, 2.13 to 9.55) compared with controls.
Numerous cross-sectional and longitudinal studies indicate that individuals treated with higher anthracycline doses, especially Survivors in our cohort demonstrated an excess risk of abnormalities of cardiac function after treatment with cumulative anthracycline doses in the range of 100 to 200 mg/m2, which contradicts results reported by other investigators advocating the relative safety of anthracycline therapy when doses are restricted to less than 250 mg/m2.8 Several studies evaluating the long-term impact of lower dose anthracycline exposure indicate that a significant minority of survivors exhibit subclinical changes of cardiac dysfunction.2-8 In an excellent systematic review evaluating subclinical cardiotoxicity in childhood cancer survivors, Kremer et al45 noted a range in incidence of abnormal left ventricular function from 0% to 15.2% in individuals treated with cumulative doses less than 300 mg/m2. Noninvasive assessments in our cohort demonstrated that the distribution of FS and afterload in survivors treated with doses less than 100 mg/m2 did not differ from normative controls. Sorensen et al7,8 observed no deterioration of left ventricular end systolic stress at greater than 10 years in longitudinally monitored survivors of childhood leukemia and Wilms' tumor treated with cumulative anthracycline doses less than 240 mg/m2. Similarly, Rammeloo et al46 did not observe a difference in echocardiographic assessment of FS, wall stress, or other measures of left ventricular function in childhood leukemia patients (median, 14 years from diagnosis) randomly assigned to receive either 100 mg/m2 daunomycin (four doses of 25 mg/m2) or no daunomycin. These data do not support the cardiotoxic potential of cumulative anthracycline doses less than 100 mg/m2. However, in other studies, occurrences of congestive heart failure have been reported in survivors treated with low cumulative doses of anthracyclines, but demographic factors such as age, sex, race, and treatment factors (such as anthracycline dose-intensity or cardiac radiation) may have modified the risk of anthracycline cardiotoxicity.1,31,45 This study has several limitations that should be considered in the interpretation of results. First, the cross-sectional study design precludes evaluation of the longitudinal impact of cardiotoxic antineoplastic therapy. The variability in time from diagnosis among the cohort could underestimate the ultimate clinical impact of cancer therapy on cardiovascular function. Second, despite estimation of cardiac dosimetry, we had limited ability to evaluate the effect of radiation either alone or in combination with anthracyclines. In contemporary treatment regimens and the treatment of relatively young patients, cardiac radiation exposure is restricted proactively. Lengthy follow-up may be necessary to determine the clinical manifestations of radiation injury. Third, because of suboptimal technical quality of the noninvasive evaluations in some patients, specific cardiac outcomes were not available for all cohort members, which could introduce bias into the analysis. Fourth, the lack of recruitment of survivors with a history of worsening cardiac function or any survivors requiring cardiac medication precluded evaluation of the relationship between clinical signs and abnormalities on noninvasive testing. Finally, the most significant limitation is the lack of understanding regarding the clinical significance of abnormal NICT in individuals without clinically symptomatic cardiovascular disease.
Presently available results from longitudinal studies indicate a definite risk of progressive cardiovascular dysfunction over time, particularly in survivors treated with cumulative anthracycline doses
The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest.
Conception and design: Melissa M. Hudson, Thomas E. Merchant, Neyssa M. Marina, Sean Phipps, David Rosenthal Financial support: Melissa M. Hudson Administrative support: Melissa M. Hudson, Shesh N. Rai, Nia Zalamea, David Rosenthal Provision of study materials or patients: Melissa M. Hudson, Nia Zalamea, David Rosenthal Collection and assembly of data: Melissa M. Hudson, Cesar Nunez, Thomas E. Merchant, Nia Zalamea, Cheryl Cox, Sean Phipps, Ronald Pompeu, David Rosenthal Data analysis and interpretation: Melissa M. Hudson, Shesh N. Rai, Cesar Nunez, Thomas E. Merchant, Neyssa M. Marina, Cheryl Cox, Sean Phipps, Ronald Pompeu, David Rosenthal Manuscript writing: Melissa M. Hudson, Shesh N. Rai, Cesar Nunez, Thomas E. Merchant, Neyssa M. Marina, Cheryl Cox, David Rosenthal Final approval of manuscript: Melissa M. Hudson, Shesh N. Rai, Cesar Nunez, Thomas E. Merchant, Neyssa M. Marina, Nia Zalamea, Cheryl Cox, Sean Phipps, Ronald Pompeu, David Rosenthal
We thank Xin Deng and Kyeongmi Cheon for assistance in preparing the statistical analysis, Diane Brand for efforts in data collection, Les Robison and Kiri Ness for insightful comments regarding the analysis, and Barbara Cruchon for helping with manuscript preparation.
Supported in part by the Cancer Center Support (CORE) Grant No. CA 21765 from the National Cancer Institute and by the American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities. Supported by Grant No. R25 CA23944 from the National Cancer Institute (N.Z.). Authors' disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.
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Copyright © 2007 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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