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Journal of Clinical Oncology, Vol 26, No 18 (June 20), 2008: pp. 2984-2991 © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology. DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2007.15.1027 Circulating 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels and Survival in Patients With Colorectal Cancer
From the Division of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; Departments of Nutrition and Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health; Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; and Division of Pediatrics, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC Corresponding author: Kimmie Ng, MD, MPH, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, 44 Binney St, Boston, MA 02115; e-mail: kng4{at}partners.org
Purpose Higher plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (25(OH)D) levels are associated with a decreased incidence of colorectal cancer, but the influence of plasma 25(OH)D on the outcome of patients with established colorectal cancer is unknown. Patients and Methods We prospectively examined the association between prediagnosis 25(OH)D levels and mortality among 304 participants in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS) who were diagnosed with colorectal cancer from 1991 to 2002. Participants diagnosed within 2 years of blood collection were excluded. Patients were observed until death, June 2005 (NHS), or January 2005 (HPFS), whichever came first. The primary end point was overall mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for other risk factors for cancer survival. Results Higher plasma 25(OH)D levels were associated with a significant reduction in overall mortality (P for trend = .02). Compared with the lowest quartile, participants in the highest quartile had an adjusted HR of 0.52 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.94) for overall mortality. A trend toward improved colorectal cancer–specific mortality was also seen (HR = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.31 to 1.19). The results remained unchanged after excluding patients diagnosed within 5 years of blood collection (P for trend = .04); the multivariate HR for overall mortality comparing extreme quartiles was 0.45 (95% CI, 0.19 to 1.09). Conclusion Among patients with colorectal cancer, higher prediagnosis plasma 25(OH)D levels were associated with a significant improvement in overall survival. Further study of the vitamin D pathway and its influence on colorectal carcinogenesis and cancer progression is warranted.
The vitamin D hypothesis has received strong experimental support over the past two decades, based on the almost ubiquitous expression in colon cancer cells of vitamin D receptors (VDR) 1,2 and 1- -hydroxylase,3 which convert plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 [25(OH)D] into 1,25-dihydroxycholecalciferol [1,25(OH)2D]. Binding of VDR by 1,25(OH)2D leads to multiple cellular effects, including induction of differentiation and apoptosis4,5 and inhibition of proliferation,6 angiogenesis,7,8 and metastatic potential.9,10 Prospective studies have demonstrated that higher baseline plasma levels of 25(OH)D are associated with a significant reduction in the risk of colorectal cancer.11-16 A meta-analysis of five epidemiologic studies found a 51% decrease in the risk of colorectal cancer associated with plasma 25(OH)D levels in the highest versus lowest quintiles (P < .0001).17 Furthermore, a prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of vitamin D and calcium supplementation in 1,179 women demonstrated a 60% decrease in all-cancer risk (including colorectal cancer) in the intervention arm (P < .03).18 In contrast, the influence of vitamin D on survival of patients with established colorectal cancer remains uncertain. A large observational study in Norway found that people diagnosed with colorectal cancer in the summer and autumn, when 25(OH)D concentrations are highest, had significantly better survival than those diagnosed in the winter. The authors speculated that a high level of circulating 25(OH)D may improve colorectal cancer prognosis.19,20 However, this study was limited by its use of season of diagnosis, an indirect indicator of vitamin D status, as the primary exposure. Therefore, we prospectively examined the influence of a more direct measure of vitamin D status—prediagnosis plasma levels of 25(OH)D—on survival of patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer while participating in two large prospective cohort studies, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS).
Study Population In 1976, the NHS cohort was established when 121,700 US female registered nurses aged 30 to 55 years answered a mailed questionnaire on risk factors for cancer and cardiovascular disease.21,22 Every 2 years, participants receive follow-up questionnaires to update information on potential risk factors and new cancer and disease diagnoses. Dietary information was first collected in 1980 via a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire and is updated in alternate follow-up cycles. Blood samples were provided by 32,826 participants aged 43 to 70 years from 1989 to 1990. In 1986, the HPFS cohort was established when 51,529 male dentists, optometrists, osteopaths, podiatrists, pharmacists, and veterinarians aged 40 to 75 years responded to a mailed questionnaire on risk factors for cancer, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes. A follow-up questionnaire is sent to participants every 2 years requesting an update on nondietary exposures and medical history, with dietary history updated every 4 years. Blood samples were provided by 18,018 participants from 1993 to 1995. Individuals in this analysis were participants with pathologically confirmed colorectal adenocarcinoma diagnosed after the date of blood collection until June 2000 for NHS and January 2002 for HPFS. Participants were excluded if they had reported any cancer (other than nonmelanoma skin cancer) previous to the colorectal cancer diagnosis. In addition, to minimize any bias owing to the presence of occult cancer or other undiagnosed major illness, we excluded participants who received a diagnosis of colorectal cancer within 2 years of blood collection. There were 159 women from NHS and 145 men from HPFS eligible for analysis. This study was approved by the Human Subjects Committee at Brigham and Women's Hospital and the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston, MA. All participants provided informed consent for questionnaire and blood data to be used in research studies.
Identification of Colorectal Cancer
Measurement of Mortality
Exposure Assessment Although all samples were assayed at the same laboratory, cases from the 1992, 1994, and 1996 NHS questionnaires were assayed in 2000, those from the 1998 and 2000 questionnaires in 2003, and all HPFS samples in 2005. Plasma 25(OH)D levels were lower in the 2000 assay compared with the 2003 assay; among 12 quality control samples from the same plasma pool, mean 25(OH)D values were 19.2 ng/mL in 2000 and 22.8 ng/mL in 2003.14 Therefore, quartile cutoffs for statistical analyses were determined separately for each laboratory run. Furthermore, an indicator variable for laboratory run was included in analyses that used plasma 25(OH)D as a continuous variable.
Covariates
Statistical Analyses
Among the 304 eligible participants with colorectal cancer, there were 123 deaths, 96 of which were colorectal cancer–specific deaths. Non–colorectal cancer causes of death included ischemic heart disease (n = 5), paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia (n = 2), stroke (n = 3), dementia (n = 2), and lung cancer (n = 2). One death each was attributed to pancreatic cancer, prostate cancer, osteoporosis, toxicologic abnormality, acute cystitis, tracheostomy complication, and pulmonary alveolar proteinosis. Six patients had missing causes of death, for a total of 27 non–coloretal cancer–specific deaths. The median time of follow-up of participants still alive was 78 months (range, 36 to 162 months). Plasma 25(OH)D levels were assessed at a median of 72 months before cancer diagnosis (range, 25 to 128 months). Baseline characteristics according to categories of plasma 25(OH)D are listed in Table 1. Overall, participants with higher 25(OH)D levels had a lower BMI, higher physical activity and vitamin D intake, and were more likely to have their blood collected in the summer or autumn. Notably, the time interval between blood collection and cancer diagnosis did not vary significantly by quartile (P = .93).
We assessed the influence of prediagnosis plasma 25(OH)D levels on patient survival (Table 2). Higher 25(OH)D levels were associated with a significant reduction in the risk of overall mortality, even after adjusting for other predictors of patient outcome (P for trend = .02). Compared with participants in the lowest quartile of 25(OH)D, those in the highest quartile had an adjusted HR for overall mortality of 0.52 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.94). Similarly, a trend toward a reduction in the risk of colorectal cancer–specific mortality was seen, with patients in the highest quartile having an adjusted HR for colorectal cancer–specific death of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.31 to 1.19) as compared with those in the lowest quartile. Of note, the addition of race/ethnicity to the multivariable model did not change the adjusted HRs for overall and cancer-specific mortality (data not shown).
Given that lower levels of 25(OH)D could reflect the presence of occult cancer, we excluded patients who developed colorectal cancer within 2 years of blood collection. To address this issue further, we repeated our analyses with a restriction of 3, 4, and 5 years (Table 3). Even after excluding cases diagnosed within 5 years of blood collection, we continued to observe significant reductions in the risk of mortality with increasing 25(OH)D levels (P for trend = .04), with participants in the highest quartile having an adjusted HR of 0.45 (95% CI, 0.19 to 1.09) for overall mortality compared with those in the lowest quartile.
We examined the influence of plasma 25(OH)D levels across strata of other predictors of cancer recurrence and mortality (Table 4). Although statistical power was diminished, the inverse relationship between plasma 25(OH)D and overall mortality remained largely unchanged across most subgroups. Of note, the beneficial effect of higher 25(OH)D levels on survival did seem modestly stronger among participants with a BMI greater than the median of 25.3 kg/m2 (HR = 0.40; 95% CI, 0.16 to 1.05 comparing extreme quartiles) versus a BMI 25.3 kg/m2 (HR = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.23 to 1.34; P for interaction = .05). In addition, the reduction in overall mortality associated with higher 25(OH)D levels was more apparent in patients diagnosed in the summer or autumn than in the winter or spring (P for interaction = .07) and in stage III and IV patients (HR = 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18 to 0.88) versus stage I and II patients (HR = 0.90; 95% CI, 0.26 to 3.12; P for interaction = .48). A similar interaction between plasma 25(OH)D and stage was also seen with colorectal cancer–specific mortality, with an HR of 0.39 (95% CI, 0.17 to 0.89) in stage III and IV patients versus an HR of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.16 to 6.28) in stage I and II patients (P for interaction = .97).
Finally, we assessed whether the effect of plasma 25(OH)D on survival was modified by the time interval between blood collection and colorectal cancer diagnosis. As presented in Table 4, the reduction in overall mortality associated with higher levels of 25(OH)D seemed similar for cases diagnosed within 72 months of plasma collection versus 72 months or more after collection (P for interaction = .90).
We found that participants with colorectal cancer who had prediagnosis plasma 25(OH)D levels in the highest quartile experienced a significant reduction in overall mortality. This relationship was still evident after restricting our analyses to patients who were diagnosed more than 5 years after blood collection, and the effect of higher plasma 25(OH)D was similar for cases diagnosed within 6 years of plasma collection and 6 or more years after collection. We also observed a trend toward a decreased risk of colorectal cancer–specific death with higher 25(OH)D levels, which did not reach statistical significance, reflecting the more limited statistical power with this end point. Of note, the majority of overall mortality events were due to colorectal cancer. Previous studies have suggested an inverse relationship between vitamin D and cancer incidence and mortality. Prospective observational studies demonstrated that higher plasma levels of 25(OH)D are associated with a significant reduction in risk of colorectal cancer compared with lower plasma levels.11-16 A randomized trial of 100,000 IU of vitamin D3 versus placebo every 4 months was conducted among 2,686 people to evaluate the effect of vitamin D on fracture risk.30 Although not the primary end point of the study, an age-adjusted relative risk of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.24 to 1.60) for colon cancer mortality was found with vitamin D compared with placebo (seven v 11 colon cancer deaths, respectively). In a placebo-controlled, randomized trial of vitamin D and calcium supplementation in 1,179 women, Lappe et al18 also observed a statistically significant decrease in the incidence of cancer with supplementation, with 21 cancers in the vitamin D plus calcium arm, 32 cancers in the calcium arm, and 38 cancers in the placebo arm. To our knowledge, no previous study has examined the influence of plasma 25(OH)D on survival in patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer. An inverse relationship between plasma 25(OH)D and mortality has been reported in patients with early-stage non–small-cell lung cancer, where high plasma 25(OH)D levels and vitamin D intake were significantly associated with improved overall and recurrence-free survival.31
There are several mechanisms through which vitamin D exposure may influence survival after a diagnosis of colorectal cancer. Binding of VDR by 1,25(OH)2D, the active metabolite of vitamin D, leads to transcriptional activation and repression of target genes, resulting in differentiation and apoptosis, and inhibition of proliferation and angiogenesis.32 Linking epidemiologic observations to a biologic mechanism for colorectal cancer pathogenesis, preclinical studies have shown that VDR and 1 We found that BMI at the time of diagnosis may modify the effect of plasma 25(OH)D on overall mortality, with participants with a higher BMI demonstrating a slightly greater reduction in the risk of death. One possible hypothesis involves the interaction between vitamin D and cytokine signaling. Several studies have shown that 1,25(OH)2D inhibits the expression of proinflammatory cytokines such as interleukin (IL) -1, IL-2, IL-6, and IL-8.37,38 Given that adiposity is characterized by low-grade systemic inflammation and that obese individuals exhibit increased production of inflammatory markers,39,40 it is plausible that patients with colorectal cancer with a higher BMI benefit from both the anti-inflammatory and antineoplastic properties of vitamin D. This additional beneficial effect on the inflammatory state could underlie the slightly greater reduction in mortality that was seen in this subgroup. The strengths of our study include its prospective design, use of a direct indicator of bodily vitamin D stores, detailed data on many potential confounders, and high follow-up rate. As participants were health professionals, the accuracy of self-reported data is likely to be high; information on many exposures have been validated previously.41,42 Several limitations of our study deserve comment. Our analysis used a single measurement of plasma 25(OH)D drawn before colorectal cancer diagnosis as the exposure and therefore may not reflect vitamin D status at the time of or after cancer diagnosis. However, a subsample of 144 men in the HPFS who provided a second blood sample showed reasonable reproducibility for 25(OH)D levels obtained 3 to 4 years apart (r = 0.70).28 Indeed, our analyses show that the relationship between vitamin D and overall mortality was not significantly affected by the time interval between blood collection and cancer diagnosis. Nonetheless, any misclassification in vitamin D status should be nondifferential and would bias the results toward unity.43 We cannot completely exclude the possibility that lower levels of 25(OH)D may be reflective of other occult predictors for poor prognosis or that higher prediagnosis 25(OH)D may lead to the development of more favorable tumors. It is also possible that participants with higher 25(OH)D levels may undergo colorectal cancer screening more often than those with lower levels, leading to the detection of earlier-stage tumors. However, our findings remained unchanged after adjusting for potential risk factors for colorectal cancer mortality. Indeed, there were actually more advanced-stage, higher-grade patients in the upper quartiles of plasma 25(OH)D compared with the lower quartiles. To minimize bias in the plasma 25(OH)D level by the presence of occult cancer, we excluded diagnoses within 2 years of blood collection and continued to observe a positive impact of high 25(OH)D, even when extending this restriction to 5 years. In this cohort, data on treatment were limited. Approximately half of the participants had stage I or II disease, for which surgery alone is often the standard of care. Additionally, although there have been changes in the chemotherapeutic treatment of colorectal cancer during the timeframe under study that could influence outcomes, we adjusted for year of diagnosis in our models. Furthermore, although there are differences in likelihood of chemotherapy receipt based on factors such as socioeconomic status, the fairly homogeneous socioeconomic and educational makeup of this cohort likely minimizes such disparities in the delivery of standard therapy.44 Lastly, because this was an observational rather than a randomized study, we cannot definitively attribute our results to plasma 25(OH)D; definitive proof of a benefit of vitamin D on survival may require a randomized placebo-controlled trial. In conclusion, our data suggest that higher prediagnosis plasma levels of 25(OH)D after a diagnosis of colorectal cancer may significantly improve overall survival. Additional efforts to understand the mechanisms through which the vitamin D pathway influences colorectal carcinogenesis and cancer progression are warranted. Moreover, future trials should examine the role of vitamin D supplementation in patients with colorectal cancer.
Although all authors completed the disclosure declaration, the following author(s) indicated a financial or other interest that is relevant to the subject matter under consideration in this article. Certain relationships marked with a "U" are those for which no compensation was received; those relationships marked with a "C" were compensated. For a detailed description of the disclosure categories, or for more information about ASCO's conflict of interest policy, please refer to the Author Disclosure Declaration and the Disclosures of Potential Conflicts of Interest section in Information for Contributors. Employment or Leadership Position: None Consultant or Advisory Role: Bruce W. Hollis, DiaSorin Corporation (C) Stock Ownership: None Honoraria: None Research Funding: None Expert Testimony: None Other Remuneration: None
Conception and design: Kimmie Ng, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt, Edward L. Giovannucci, Charles S. Fuchs Financial support: Edward L. Giovannucci, Charles S. Fuchs Administrative support: Kimmie Ng, Charles S. Fuchs Collection and assembly of data: Kimmie Ng, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt, Kana Wu, Diane Feskanich, Bruce W. Hollis, Edward L. Giovannucci, Charles S. Fuchs Data analysis and interpretation: Kimmie Ng, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt, Kana Wu, Diane Feskanich, Bruce W. Hollis, Edward L. Giovannucci, Charles S. Fuchs Manuscript writing: Kimmie Ng, Charles S. Fuchs Final approval of manuscript: Kimmie Ng, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt, Kana Wu, Diane Feskanich, Bruce W. Hollis, Edward L. Giovannucci, Charles S. Fuchs
We thank Walter C. Willett, MD, DrPH, and Meir J. Stampfer, MD, DrPH, from the Harvard School of Public Health for their expert comments on the analysis and the manuscript.
Supported in part by Grants No. CA118553, CA87969, and CA108341 from the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health. The contents of this article are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the National Cancer Institute or the National Institutes of Health. Terms in blue are defined in the glossary, found at the end of this article and online at www.jco.org. Authors' disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.
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Copyright © 2008 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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