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Originally published as JCO Early Release 10.1200/JCO.2008.16.3071 on September 15 2008 © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology.
Treatment and Survival Differences in Older Medicare Patients With Lung Cancer as Compared With Those Who Are Dually Eligible for Medicare and Medicaid
From the Departments of Health Administration and Internal Medicine, Division of Quality Health Care, and Massey Cancer Center, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA; and the Department of Family Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI Corresponding author: Cathy J. Bradley, PhD, Department of Health Administration and Massey Cancer Center, Virginia Commonwealth University, Grant House, 1008 Clay St, PO Box 980203, Richmond, VA 23298-0203; e-mail: cjbradley{at}vcu.edu
Purpose This study compares non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treatments provided to older patients (age 66 years) who are dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid with treatments provided to similar patients who are insured by Medicare. We extend the analysis to include a comparison of survival rates between Medicare and dually eligible patients. Dual eligibility is associated with low socioeconomic status. However, Medicaid coverage in addition to Medicare removes many financial barriers to care. Patients and Methods The sample included 2,626 older patients with local and regional stage NSCLC diagnosed between 1997 and 2000. Four outcomes were studied: the likelihood of receiving resection, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, and survival (perioperative and longer-term). Logistic regression was used to predict the likelihood of treatment, and stratified and multivariate analyses were used to evaluate differences in survival. Results Dually eligible patients were half as likely to undergo resection as Medicare patients (P < .001) and were more likely to receive radiation than Medicare patients. Stratified and multivariate analyses showed that surgically treated dually eligible patients had slightly inferior survival as compared with that of Medicare patients. Survival was equivalent among patients who did not undergo resection, regardless of insurance coverage. Conclusion Older dually eligible patients with NSCLC had a lower likelihood of undergoing resection despite controls for socioeconomic factors and comorbidities. However, if such patients were surgically treated, survival improved substantially, but it remained inferior to the survival of Medicare patients. Additional research is needed to understand why resection rates were substantially lower among dually eligible patients.
Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death in the United States1 and is the most prevalent cancer among Medicare- and Medicaid-insured patients.2 Although the annual lung cancer mortality rate has been decreasing overall,1 it remains high, particularly among racial and ethnic minorities.2 Improved survival rates for patients with non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the most common form of lung cancer, can be achieved when the disease is diagnosed early and treated aggressively.3 Resection is generally regarded as the most effective treatment for persons with stage I or II disease. Adjuvant chemotherapy has also been shown to provide a statistically significant survival advantage for patients with completely resected NSCLC.4-6 For patients for whom surgery is not an option, radiotherapy is regarded as a life-prolonging alternative.7,8 Treatment delivery often falls short of recommended NSCLC care as a result of clinical reasons, including inoperable conditions, comorbid conditions, patient refusal, and advanced age,3,7,9 and as a result of nonclinical reasons, such as those related to minority race and low socioeconomic status.10,11 For nearly a decade, studies have reported that black patients are less likely to undergo surgical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy than white patients, and correspondingly, black patients have a lower 5-year survival rate in comparison with white patients.10-13 This study examines how Medicaid insurance in addition to Medicare insurance (referred to as dual eligibility) influences the treatment and survival of older patients with NSCLC. More than 60% of dually eligible beneficiaries live below the poverty level, and almost all live 200% of poverty level.14 They are more likely than Medicare beneficiaries to be from a minority population, to be unmarried, to live alone, to be institutionalized, and to have lower educational attainment as compared with Medicare beneficiaries.15 Four outcomes were compared between dually eligible and Medicare patients. First, we examined the likelihood that patients with stage I, II, and IIIA disease undergo surgical resection. Second, we predicted the likelihood that patients received chemotherapy. Third, we examined the likelihood of radiation delivery. Finally, we compared survival differences, both perioperative and longer-term, between dually eligible patients and Medicare patients.
The influence of dual eligibility on treatment and survival is a novel aspect of our research and is important because Medicaid recipients often embody the characteristics associated with disparate cancer outcomes. For example, to qualify for Medicaid benefits, persons age
Data Sources We used statewide Medicaid and Medicare data merged with the Michigan Tumor Registry to extract a sample of patients with a first primary cancer diagnosis. The Michigan Cancer Surveillance Program, which maintains the Michigan Tumor Registry, is greater than 95% complete based on external audit findings. This study was approved by institutional review boards at the Michigan Department of Community Health, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, and Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA. Patients were matched to the Michigan state segment of the Medicare Denominator file from January 1, 1997, through December 31, 2000, using the patient's Social Security number. Survival status was available on all patients through December 31, 2003. Medicaid-insured patients were identified by matching the Medicaid eligibility files against the Tumor Registry, using deterministic and probabilistic methods. We extracted, from statewide Medicare files, all claims for inpatient, outpatient, and physician services during the study period for all patients that correctly matched to the Michigan state segment of the Medicare Denominator file (approximately 89% of patients). The process for linking the Tumor Registry, Medicare, and Medicaid data sets is described fully elsewhere.17
Study Cohort We excluded patients who resided in a nursing home (n = 43) because they were generally poor candidates for surgery. Nursing home patients were identified from the Medicaid eligibility file. Private pay nursing home patients remained in the Medicare sample because Medicare claims files do not adequately identify nursing home patients. We removed patients diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease and/or dementia using the following ICD, version 9, codes: 331.0, 331.x, 290.0, and 797 (n = 55). This exclusion likely reduced the number of nursing home residents in the Medicare sample and removed patients for whom cancer treatment may be inappropriate. We also excluded patients with race designated as "other" or "unknown" (n = 88). The minimum observation period for each patient was 30 days of claims data from the date of diagnosis. Therefore, we excluded patients diagnosed in December 2000 (n = 59) and those who died within 30 days after diagnosis (n = 96). We then excluded the following patients: those not enrolled in Parts A and B (n = 45), those enrolled in a managed care plan (n = 273), and patient without any health care claims (n = 12). We believe that claims data for these patients were incomplete. The remaining sample size was 3,094 patients. Approximately 11% of them were dually eligible. We removed patients with stage IIIB NSCLC from the full sample for the estimations that predicted the likelihood of a resection and survival; this sample size was 2,626 patients. We then removed patients from the full sample who had less than 6 months of claims data after diagnosis in estimations of the likelihood of chemotherapy or radiation (n = 2,348).
Identification of Surgical Procedures
Identification of Chemotherapy and Radiation
Survival Perioperative mortality was another measure of survival for those patients who had surgery. It was defined as a dichotomous variable to indicate whether death occurred within 30 days after the date of surgery.
Control Variables
Comorbidity burden is an important prognostic factor in patients with NSCLC and is a statistically significant predictor of surgical resection.10,11 To estimate patient comorbidity burden, we used the Deyo et al19 and Klablunde et al20 adaptation of the Charlson Comorbidity Index,21 which has been used to explain the probability and extent of cancer treatment.20,22 We counted comorbidities by using all inpatient, outpatient, and physician claims for services rendered to patients in the year before diagnosis. We classified comorbidity scores into three groups: 0, 1, In the estimations predicting the likelihood of a resection, we included variables for TNM stage I or II versus stage IIIA. A variable for stage IIIB was added to estimations predicting the likelihood of chemotherapy and radiation therapy. In all estimations, we included variables for histology, which were adenocarcinomas, large-cell carcinomas, squamous cell carcinomas, and other or unknown.
Statistical Analysis Survival curves were constructed with the Kaplan-Meier estimation method and compared with the log-rank test. For analyses involving adjustments for confounding factors, we used the Cox proportional hazards method to estimate survival. Patients were stratified by surgical and nonsurgical treatment in all survival analyses. All analyses were conducted using SAS, version 9.1 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).
Resection Table 1 reports that dually eligible patients were younger, were more likely to be African American, female, and to have more comorbid conditions relative to the Medicare sample. Dually eligible patients were also more likely than their Medicare counterparts to reside in census tracts with low median income. Cancer stage and histology was comparable between the two insurance groups.
More than half (53%) of the Medicare sample underwent resection, whereas only 36% of the dually eligible sample underwent resection. (The adjusted likelihood of a resection is listed in the last column of Table 1.) Dually eligible patients were half as likely as Medicare patients to undergo resection (OR = .50; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.67). Other variables statistically significant and negatively associated with resection were age (75 years and older v 66 to 69 years), two or more comorbid conditions, and residing in a census tract where the median household income is less than $35,000. Patients with early-stage cancer were more likely to undergo resection than patients with stage IIIA. Histologies other than adenocarcinomas were negatively associated with the likelihood of resection.
Chemotherapy and Radiation
Survival Overall median survival was longer for Medicare-insured patients relative to dually eligible patients. When patients were stratified by whether they underwent resection, survival was equivalent among Medicare and dually eligible patients who did not undergo resection (Fig 1). The survival differences approach statistical significance (P = .08) between dually eligible and Medicare patients who underwent resection (Fig 1). Survival for surgically treated patients, regardless of health insurance coverage, was superior to that of patients who did not have surgery.
Table 3 lists the adjusted hazard ratios for longer-term survival and reports ORs for perioperative survival. The sample is stratified by resection status. In the first column, dually eligible patients who underwent resection had a statistically significantly higher likelihood of dying than did Medicare patients who underwent resection (hazard ratio = 1.42, 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.86). The likelihood of survival was statistically equivalent for patients who did not undergo resection. The likelihood of perioperative mortality was statistically similar for dually eligible and Medicare patients.
We examined the role of dual eligibility in treatment and survival in older patients with NSCLC. Without sample stratification, Medicare-insured patients with NSCLC had superior survival overall. Once we adjusted for surgical treatment, dually eligible patients who underwent resection had a greater likelihood of death than Medicare patients who underwent resection, but they had a much lower likelihood of death than patients who did not undergo resection. Survival for patients who did not undergo resection was similar, regardless of insurance coverage. The key finding with regard to treatment was that dually eligible patients were half as likely to undergo resection as Medicare patients. This finding was statistically significant despite controls for age, socioeconomic status, comorbid conditions, and disease stage and the exclusion of nursing home patients from the sample. However, a resection tended to narrow, but not close, the survival gap between dually eligible and Medicare patients. It is possible that dually eligible patients, despite comprehensive insurance coverage, may have difficulty accessing experienced thoracic surgeons. Alternatively, surgeons may not offer surgery to dually eligible patients or these patients may be inclined to refuse surgery or to have conditions that are counter-indications for surgery. Other noteworthy findings include the following. First, dually eligible patients were as likely to initiate chemotherapy as compared with Medicare patients and were more likely to initiate radiation than Medicare patients. Second, patients residing in low-income census tracts were less likely to undergo resection, suggesting that these patients may have difficulty accessing appropriate health care. Third, African American patients were less likely to initiate chemotherapy or radiation than white patients. Finally, older age was negatively associated with resection and chemotherapy but was positively associated with radiation. The study has some limitations. First, the study is specific to Michigan, and as such, it may not be generalized to other states or regions. However, the only way to identify Medicaid-insured patients, at this time, is at the state level. The state buy-in variable, which is in the Medicare denominator file, does not adequately identify Medicaid patients. Second, published estimates indicate that only half of older Medicare beneficiaries with incomes at or below poverty enroll in Medicaid.23 The inclusion of older patients who qualify for but who are not enrolled in Medicaid would diminish the relationship between Medicaid and the outcomes we study. Third, unmeasured differences in comorbidity status may exist between the two insurance groups. We chose the Deyo et al19 and Klablunde et al20 modifications of the Charlson Comorbidity Index because they are conducive to assessing comorbidity burden with administrative claims data. However, in older patients with cancer, the Charlson Comorbidity score does not adequately reflect functional ability or predict tolerance to treatment.24,25 Fourth, we lacked data on patient preferences, counter-indications for surgery, and smoking history. Finally, the study is specific to patients age 66 and older and excluded patients enrolled in a managed care organization; these patients may have different patterns of care. The reasons why dually eligible patients were less likely to undergo resection are unclear and worthy of further investigation. Among patients treated surgically, there is a substantial survival advantage. However, surgically treated dually eligible patients still have shorter survival times than Medicare patients, suggesting that other factors place the dually eligible at a disadvantage. Patients become eligible for Medicaid because they are either medically needy, which means that they have few financial resources to allocate for medical expenses, or they are disabled. Disabled dually eligible patients may have counter-indications for surgery, implying that surgical and survival rates may not ever be equivalent between dually eligible and Medicare patients. Nevertheless, survival advantages may be realized if treatment differences attributable to socioeconomic status can be reduced.
The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest.
Conception and design: Cathy J. Bradley, Bassam Dahman, Charles W. Given Financial support: Cathy J. Bradley Administrative support: Cathy J. Bradley Collection and assembly of data: Cathy J. Bradley Data analysis and interpretation: Cathy J. Bradley, Bassam Dahman, Charles W. Given Manuscript writing: Cathy J. Bradley, Bassam Dahman, Charles W. Given Final approval of manuscript: Cathy J. Bradley, Bassam Dahman, Charles W. Given
published online ahead of print at www.jco.org on September 15, 2008 Supported by National Cancer Institute Grant No. R01-CA101835-01, In-Depth Examination of Disparities in Cancer Outcomes (C.J.B., principal investigator). Authors disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.
1. Edwards B, Brown M, Wingo P, et al: Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, 1975-2002, featuring population-based trends in cancer treatment. J Natl Cancer Inst 97:1407-1427, 2005 2. Bradley C, Given C, Luo Z, et al: Cancer incidence in elderly Medicare and dual eligible beneficiaries. Health Serv Res [epub ahead of print on May 12, 2008] 3. Sullivan V, Tran T, Holmstrom A, et al: Advanced age does not exclude lobectomy for non-small cell lung carcinoma. Chest 128:2671-2676, 2005[CrossRef][Medline] 4. Winton T, Livingston R, Johnson D, et al: Vinorelbine plus cisplatin vs. observation in resected non-small cell lung cancer. N Engl J Med 352:2589-2597, 2005 5. Arriagada R, Bergman B, Dunant A, et al: Cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with completely resected non-small cell lung cancer. N Engl J Med 350:351-360, 2004 6. Visbal A, Leigh N, Feld R, et al: Adjuvant chemotherapy for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer. Chest 128:2933-2943, 2005[CrossRef][Medline] 7. Birim O, Kappetein P, Goorden T, et al: Proper treatment selection may improve survival in patients with clinical early-stage nonsmall cell lung cancer. Ann Thorac Surg 80:1021-1026, 2005 8. Wisnivesky J, Bonomi M, Henschke C, et al: Radiation therapy for the treatment of unresected stage I-II non-small cell lung cancer. Chest 128:1461-1467, 2005[CrossRef][Medline] 9. Earle C, Neumann P, Gelber R, et al: Impact of referral patterns on the use of chemotherapy for lung cancer. J Clin Oncol 20:1786-1792, 2002 10. Bach P, Cramer L, Warren J, et al: Racial differences in the treatment of early-stage lung cancer. N Engl J Med 341:1198-1205, 1999 11. Lathan C, Neville B, Earle C: The effect of race on invasive staging and surgery in non-small cell lung cancer. J Clin Oncol 24:413-418, 2006 12. Earle C, Venditti L, Neumann P, et al: Who gets chemotherapy for metastatic lung cancer? Chest 117:1239-1246, 2000[CrossRef][Medline] 13. Potosky A, Saxman S, Wallace R, et al: Population variations in the initial treatment of non-small-cell lung cancer. J Clin Oncol 22:3261-3268, 2004 14. Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC): Analysis of Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS), 2001. http://www.medpac.gov/publications/congressional_reports/Jun04DatabookSec2.pdf 15. Murray L, Shatto A: Dually eligible Medicare beneficiaries. Health Care Financ Rev 20:131-140, 1998 16. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Center for Medicaid and State Operations: Medicaid-at-a-glance 2005. http://www.cms.hhs.gov/MedicaidEligibility/Downloads/MedicaidataGlance05.pdf 17. Bradley C, Given C, Luo Z, et al: Medicaid, Medicare, and the Michigan Tumor Registry: A Linkage Strategy. Med Decis Making 27:352-363, 2007 18. Allison PD: Missing Data. Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage Publications, 2001 19. Deyo RA, Cherkin DC, Ciol MA: Adapting a clinical comorbidity index for use with ICD-9-CM administrative databases. J Clin Epidemiol 45:613-619, 1992[CrossRef][Medline] 20. Klabunde CE, Potosky AL, Legler JM, et al: Development of a comorbidity index using physician claims data. J Clin Epidemiol 53:1258-1267, 2000[CrossRef][Medline] 21. Charlson ME, Pompei P, Ales KL, et al: A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: Development and validation. J Chronic Dis 40:373-383, 1987[CrossRef][Medline] 22. Baldwin LM, Klabunde CE, Green P, et al: In search of the perfect comorbidity measure for use with administrative claim data: Does it exist? Med Care 44:745-753, 2006[CrossRef][Medline] 23. Pezzin LE, Kasper JD: Medicaid enrollment among elderly Medicare beneficiaries: Individual determinants, effects of state policy, and impact on service use. Health Serv Res 37:827-847, 2002[CrossRef][Medline] 24. Froehner M, Koch R, Litz R, et al: Comparison of the American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification with the Charlson score as predictors of survival after radical prostatectomy. Urology 62:698-701, 2003[CrossRef][Medline] 25. Extermann M: Measuring comorbidity in older cancer patients. Eur J Cancer 36:453-471, 2000[CrossRef][Medline] Submitted January 18, 2008; accepted June 10, 2008.
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Copyright © 2008 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, Online ISSN: 1527-7755. Print ISSN: 0732-183X
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